A federal grand jury in North Carolina's Eastern District indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump and transmitting an interstate threat, stemming from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells allegedly forming "8647." Comey pleaded not guilty, appeared in court, and recently hired local counsel, with arraignment set for June 30 and trial possibly July 15. Legal experts cite First Amendment protections and weak evidence of a "true threat," echoing a prior 2025 indictment dismissed without prejudice. Traders price a 93.5% "No" probability due to these prosecutorial hurdles, lengthy appeals process, and tight timeline for conviction and sentencing by year-end, reflecting consensus on slim odds despite DOJ pursuit under Acting AG Todd Blanche.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$140,730 Vol.
$140,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$140,730 Vol.
$140,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal grand jury in North Carolina's Eastern District indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump and transmitting an interstate threat, stemming from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells allegedly forming "8647." Comey pleaded not guilty, appeared in court, and recently hired local counsel, with arraignment set for June 30 and trial possibly July 15. Legal experts cite First Amendment protections and weak evidence of a "true threat," echoing a prior 2025 indictment dismissed without prejudice. Traders price a 93.5% "No" probability due to these prosecutorial hurdles, lengthy appeals process, and tight timeline for conviction and sentencing by year-end, reflecting consensus on slim odds despite DOJ pursuit under Acting AG Todd Blanche.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
音量
$140,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal grand jury in North Carolina's Eastern District indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump and transmitting an interstate threat, stemming from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells allegedly forming "8647." Comey pleaded not guilty, appeared in court, and recently hired local counsel, with arraignment set for June 30 and trial possibly July 15. Legal experts cite First Amendment protections and weak evidence of a "true threat," echoing a prior 2025 indictment dismissed without prejudice. Traders price a 93.5% "No" probability due to these prosecutorial hurdles, lengthy appeals process, and tight timeline for conviction and sentencing by year-end, reflecting consensus on slim odds despite DOJ pursuit under Acting AG Todd Blanche.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$140,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal grand jury in North Carolina's Eastern District indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump and transmitting an interstate threat, stemming from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells allegedly forming "8647." Comey pleaded not guilty, appeared in court, and recently hired local counsel, with arraignment set for June 30 and trial possibly July 15. Legal experts cite First Amendment protections and weak evidence of a "true threat," echoing a prior 2025 indictment dismissed without prejudice. Traders price a 93.5% "No" probability due to these prosecutorial hurdles, lengthy appeals process, and tight timeline for conviction and sentencing by year-end, reflecting consensus on slim odds despite DOJ pursuit under Acting AG Todd Blanche.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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