**James Comey faces federal charges stemming from an April 2026 indictment over a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875.** A trial is scheduled for October 21, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina, following Comey’s self-surrender and release on recognizance; he has denied wrongdoing and is expected to raise First Amendment and true-threat precedent defenses. An earlier 2025 indictment on false statements to Congress was dismissed on procedural grounds. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects the compressed timeline—conviction, sentencing, and any immediate incarceration are unlikely before year-end given standard federal procedures, appeals, and the legal gray area around social-media threats. Plausible shifts could arise from an expedited plea, superseding charges, or unexpected court rulings before December 31, though these remain low-probability paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$154,096 Vol.
$154,096 Vol.
2026/12/31
$154,096 Vol.
$154,096 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**James Comey faces federal charges stemming from an April 2026 indictment over a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875.** A trial is scheduled for October 21, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina, following Comey’s self-surrender and release on recognizance; he has denied wrongdoing and is expected to raise First Amendment and true-threat precedent defenses. An earlier 2025 indictment on false statements to Congress was dismissed on procedural grounds.
Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects the compressed timeline—conviction, sentencing, and any immediate incarceration are unlikely before year-end given standard federal procedures, appeals, and the legal gray area around social-media threats. Plausible shifts could arise from an expedited plea, superseding charges, or unexpected court rulings before December 31, though these remain low-probability paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
音量
$154,096終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**James Comey faces federal charges stemming from an April 2026 indictment over a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875.** A trial is scheduled for October 21, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina, following Comey’s self-surrender and release on recognizance; he has denied wrongdoing and is expected to raise First Amendment and true-threat precedent defenses. An earlier 2025 indictment on false statements to Congress was dismissed on procedural grounds.
Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects the compressed timeline—conviction, sentencing, and any immediate incarceration are unlikely before year-end given standard federal procedures, appeals, and the legal gray area around social-media threats. Plausible shifts could arise from an expedited plea, superseding charges, or unexpected court rulings before December 31, though these remain low-probability paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$154,096終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**James Comey faces federal charges stemming from an April 2026 indictment over a 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875.** A trial is scheduled for October 21, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina, following Comey’s self-surrender and release on recognizance; he has denied wrongdoing and is expected to raise First Amendment and true-threat precedent defenses. An earlier 2025 indictment on false statements to Congress was dismissed on procedural grounds. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects the compressed timeline—conviction, sentencing, and any immediate incarceration are unlikely before year-end given standard federal procedures, appeals, and the legal gray area around social-media threats. Plausible shifts could arise from an expedited plea, superseding charges, or unexpected court rulings before December 31, though these remain low-probability paths.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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