Recent polls show incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie for the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida’s newly drawn 25th district, with roughly 20-22% of voters undecided. Moskowitz holds an edge among early voters while Larkin leads among those yet to cast ballots, and substantial outside spending has entered the race. The contest pits a two-term centrist representative against a democratic socialist union organizer, creating competing turnout and persuasion dynamics in the final days. This closeness keeps large-margin outcomes uncertain and supports the balanced pricing across victory spreads and the substantial share allocated to other results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日モスコウィッツ25％以上 32%
モスコウィッツ 20〜25％ 25%
モスコウィッツ 10〜15％ 17%
モスコウィッツ 15〜20% 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
モスコウィッツ25％以上
35%
モスコウィッツ 20〜25％
25%
モスコウィッツ 15〜20%
14%
モスコウィッツ 10〜15％
17%
モスコウィッツ 5～10％
1%
モスコウィッツ 5％未満
9%
ラーキン <5%
4%
ラーキン 5〜10％
4%
ラーキン 10～15％
3%
ラーキン 15〜20％
3%
ラーキン20～25%
3%
ラーキン25％以上
2%
モスコウィッツ25％以上 32%
モスコウィッツ 20〜25％ 25%
モスコウィッツ 10〜15％ 17%
モスコウィッツ 15〜20% 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
モスコウィッツ25％以上
$4,908 Vol.
35%
モスコウィッツ 20〜25％
$300 Vol.
25%
モスコウィッツ 15〜20%
$222 Vol.
14%
モスコウィッツ 10〜15％
$154 Vol.
17%
モスコウィッツ 5～10％
$31 Vol.
1%
モスコウィッツ 5％未満
$47 Vol.
9%
ラーキン <5%
$73 Vol.
4%
ラーキン 5〜10％
$78 Vol.
4%
ラーキン 10～15％
$138 Vol.
3%
ラーキン 15〜20％
$100 Vol.
3%
ラーキン20～25%
$78 Vol.
3%
ラーキン25％以上
$166 Vol.
2%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie for the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida’s newly drawn 25th district, with roughly 20-22% of voters undecided. Moskowitz holds an edge among early voters while Larkin leads among those yet to cast ballots, and substantial outside spending has entered the race. The contest pits a two-term centrist representative against a democratic socialist union organizer, creating competing turnout and persuasion dynamics in the final days. This closeness keeps large-margin outcomes uncertain and supports the balanced pricing across victory spreads and the substantial share allocated to other results.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$6,297終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie for the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida’s newly drawn 25th district, with roughly 20-22% of voters undecided. Moskowitz holds an edge among early voters while Larkin leads among those yet to cast ballots, and substantial outside spending has entered the race. The contest pits a two-term centrist representative against a democratic socialist union organizer, creating competing turnout and persuasion dynamics in the final days. This closeness keeps large-margin outcomes uncertain and supports the balanced pricing across victory spreads and the substantial share allocated to other results.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$6,297終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a statistical tie for the August 18 Democratic primary in Florida’s newly drawn 25th district, with roughly 20-22% of voters undecided. Moskowitz holds an edge among early voters while Larkin leads among those yet to cast ballots, and substantial outside spending has entered the race. The contest pits a two-term centrist representative against a democratic socialist union organizer, creating competing turnout and persuasion dynamics in the final days. This closeness keeps large-margin outcomes uncertain and supports the balanced pricing across victory spreads and the substantial share allocated to other results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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