The trader consensus positions the Communist Party of the Russian Federation as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical role as the main opposition with established regional networks and infrastructure that have sustained support above the 5% threshold in prior cycles. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating results, with New People sometimes polling second amid Kremlin-aligned media emphasis yet facing limited local structures, while the Liberal Democratic Party contends with leadership transitions and weaker organization since 2022. Party preparations including primaries and issue-focused strategies continue ahead of the mid-June campaign launch in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system, where administrative resources favor United Russia overall but leave room for established opposition contenders to compete for the runner-up spot based on turnout and district outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 30%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.0%
$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia (ER)
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%
New People (NL)
24%
Rodina
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 30%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.0%
$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia (ER)
$2,454 Vol.
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$2,368 Vol.
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,672 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$2,170 Vol.
13%
New People (NL)
$2,298 Vol.
24%
Rodina
$2,827 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,403 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The trader consensus positions the Communist Party of the Russian Federation as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical role as the main opposition with established regional networks and infrastructure that have sustained support above the 5% threshold in prior cycles. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating results, with New People sometimes polling second amid Kremlin-aligned media emphasis yet facing limited local structures, while the Liberal Democratic Party contends with leadership transitions and weaker organization since 2022. Party preparations including primaries and issue-focused strategies continue ahead of the mid-June campaign launch in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system, where administrative resources favor United Russia overall but leave room for established opposition contenders to compete for the runner-up spot based on turnout and district outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$16,191終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The trader consensus positions the Communist Party of the Russian Federation as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical role as the main opposition with established regional networks and infrastructure that have sustained support above the 5% threshold in prior cycles. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating results, with New People sometimes polling second amid Kremlin-aligned media emphasis yet facing limited local structures, while the Liberal Democratic Party contends with leadership transitions and weaker organization since 2022. Party preparations including primaries and issue-focused strategies continue ahead of the mid-June campaign launch in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system, where administrative resources favor United Russia overall but leave room for established opposition contenders to compete for the runner-up spot based on turnout and district outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$16,191終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The trader consensus positions the Communist Party of the Russian Federation as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical role as the main opposition with established regional networks and infrastructure that have sustained support above the 5% threshold in prior cycles. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating results, with New People sometimes polling second amid Kremlin-aligned media emphasis yet facing limited local structures, while the Liberal Democratic Party contends with leadership transitions and weaker organization since 2022. Party preparations including primaries and issue-focused strategies continue ahead of the mid-June campaign launch in Russia's mixed proportional and single-mandate system, where administrative resources favor United Russia overall but leave room for established opposition contenders to compete for the runner-up spot based on turnout and district outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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