Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms such as VCIOM and FOM place United Russia well ahead for first place ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, leaving a tight contest among systemic opposition parties for second. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its position as the largest established opposition force, drawing on longstanding organizational reach and consistent performance in prior cycles. New People has shown gains in some surveys by targeting younger and urban voters with a centrist platform, while the Liberal Democratic Party relies on nationalist messaging. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler, and ongoing candidate registration plus federal list finalization have reinforced expectations that KPRF will secure the runner-up spot in the proportional component. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing treats these structural and historical patterns as the dominant drivers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 85%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8.8%
New People (NL) 7.5%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$377,123 Vol.
$377,123 Vol.
2026/09/19
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
85%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
9%
New People (NL)
8%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
ヤブロコ
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 85%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8.8%
New People (NL) 7.5%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$377,123 Vol.
$377,123 Vol.
2026/09/19
United Russia (ER)
$45,479 Vol.
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$101,480 Vol.
85%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$16,701 Vol.
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$81,746 Vol.
9%
New People (NL)
$48,534 Vol.
8%
Rodina
$19,680 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 Vol.
<1%
ヤブロコ
$52,029 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms such as VCIOM and FOM place United Russia well ahead for first place ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, leaving a tight contest among systemic opposition parties for second. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its position as the largest established opposition force, drawing on longstanding organizational reach and consistent performance in prior cycles. New People has shown gains in some surveys by targeting younger and urban voters with a centrist platform, while the Liberal Democratic Party relies on nationalist messaging. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler, and ongoing candidate registration plus federal list finalization have reinforced expectations that KPRF will secure the runner-up spot in the proportional component. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing treats these structural and historical patterns as the dominant drivers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$377,123終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms such as VCIOM and FOM place United Russia well ahead for first place ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, leaving a tight contest among systemic opposition parties for second. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its position as the largest established opposition force, drawing on longstanding organizational reach and consistent performance in prior cycles. New People has shown gains in some surveys by targeting younger and urban voters with a centrist platform, while the Liberal Democratic Party relies on nationalist messaging. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler, and ongoing candidate registration plus federal list finalization have reinforced expectations that KPRF will secure the runner-up spot in the proportional component. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing treats these structural and historical patterns as the dominant drivers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$377,123終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls from state-affiliated firms such as VCIOM and FOM place United Russia well ahead for first place ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, leaving a tight contest among systemic opposition parties for second. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation maintains its position as the largest established opposition force, drawing on longstanding organizational reach and consistent performance in prior cycles. New People has shown gains in some surveys by targeting younger and urban voters with a centrist platform, while the Liberal Democratic Party relies on nationalist messaging. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler, and ongoing candidate registration plus federal list finalization have reinforced expectations that KPRF will secure the runner-up spot in the proportional component. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing treats these structural and historical patterns as the dominant drivers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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