New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) remain locked in a tight contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma elections under Russia's mixed proportional representation system. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating support levels around 6–13 percent for these parties, with New People benefiting from positioning as a fresher systemic option while LDPR leverages its nationalist base and KPRF relies on established regional networks. Trader consensus reflected in current prices highlights uncertainty over which party will edge ahead, influenced by campaign intensity, single-mandate district results, and turnout patterns in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts in voter mobilization or administrative factors could widen the gap among the three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 16%
ヤブロコ 1.6%
$56,912 Vol.
$56,912 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
16%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
32%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
2%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 32%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 16%
ヤブロコ 1.6%
$56,912 Vol.
$56,912 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
16%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
32%

New People (NL)
42%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) remain locked in a tight contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma elections under Russia's mixed proportional representation system. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show fluctuating support levels around 6–13 percent for these parties, with New People benefiting from positioning as a fresher systemic option while LDPR leverages its nationalist base and KPRF relies on established regional networks. Trader consensus reflected in current prices highlights uncertainty over which party will edge ahead, influenced by campaign intensity, single-mandate district results, and turnout patterns in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts in voter mobilization or administrative factors could widen the gap among the three.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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