United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 62%
ニューピープル（NL） 29.0%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.8%
$8,176,588 Vol.
$8,176,588 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
62%
ニューピープル（NL）
29%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
4%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
1%
ロジーナ
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 62%
ニューピープル（NL） 29.0%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 3.8%
$8,176,588 Vol.
$8,176,588 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$2,129,454 Vol.
62%
ニューピープル（NL）
$1,041,201 Vol.
29%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,272,834 Vol.
5%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$654,488 Vol.
4%
公正ロシア・ための真実（SRZP）
$571,026 Vol.
1%
ロジーナ
$928,378 Vol.
<1%
シビック・プラットフォーム（GP）
$579,580 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$8,176,588終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$8,176,588終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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