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選挙·グローバル選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

icon for 次回のフランス大統領選挙
選挙·グローバル選挙

次回のフランス大統領選挙

ジョルダン・バルデラ 24%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 20%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 12%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 6%

Polymarket

$71,907,789 Vol.

ジョルダン・バルデラ 24%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 20%

ジャン＝リュック・メランション 12%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 6%

Polymarket

$71,907,789 Vol.

icon for ジョルダン・バルデラ

ジョルダン・バルデラ

$894,209 Vol.

24%

icon for エドゥアール・フィリップ

エドゥアール・フィリップ

$703,563 Vol.

20%

icon for ジャン＝リュック・メランション

ジャン＝リュック・メランション

$557,385 Vol.

12%

icon for マリーヌ・ル・ペン

マリーヌ・ル・ペン

$521,056 Vol.

6%

icon for ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

$1,203,504 Vol.

5%

icon for ダヴィッド・リスナール

ダヴィッド・リスナール

$1,155,548 Vol.

5%

icon for フランソワ・オランド

フランソワ・オランド

$1,018,434 Vol.

4%

icon for ガブリエル・アタル

ガブリエル・アタル

$1,238,402 Vol.

3%

icon for ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

$1,366,503 Vol.

3%

icon for ラファエル・グリュックスマン

ラファエル・グリュックスマン

$836,481 Vol.

2%

icon for サラ・クナフォ

サラ・クナフォ

$1,301,260 Vol.

2%

icon for エリック・ゼムール

エリック・ゼムール

$1,478,329 Vol.

1%

icon for セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

$889,554 Vol.

1%

icon for ジャン・カステックス

ジャン・カステックス

$741,391 Vol.

1%

icon for フアン・ブランコ

フアン・ブランコ

$1,362,982 Vol.

1%

icon for ベルナール・カズヌーブ

ベルナール・カズヌーブ

$1,266,404 Vol.

1%

icon for ローラン・ヴォキエ

ローラン・ヴォキエ

$2,053,301 Vol.

1%

icon for ヴァレリー・ペクレス

ヴァレリー・ペクレス

$2,590,332 Vol.

1%

icon for ジェラルド・ダルマナン

ジェラルド・ダルマナン

$735,761 Vol.

1%

icon for クレマンス・ゲッテ

クレマンス・ゲッテ

$2,690,283 Vol.

1%

icon for ファビアン・ルッセル

ファビアン・ルッセル

$2,174,225 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・アスリノー

フランソワ・アスリノー

$3,527,544 Vol.

1%

icon for ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

ニコラ・デュポン＝エニャン

$2,804,372 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・リュファン

フランソワ・リュファン

$1,540,402 Vol.

1%

icon for マリーヌ・トンドリエ

マリーヌ・トンドリエ

$2,079,074 Vol.

1%

icon for セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

$3,125,117 Vol.

1%

icon for クレマンティーヌ・オータン

クレマンティーヌ・オータン

$3,033,209 Vol.

1%

icon for ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

ヤエル・ブロン＝ピヴェ

$3,791,452 Vol.

1%

icon for マチルド・パノ

マチルド・パノ

$3,560,642 Vol.

1%

icon for エリザベット・ボルヌ

エリザベット・ボルヌ

$3,306,612 Vol.

1%

icon for カロル・デルガ

カロル・デルガ

$2,654,426 Vol.

1%

icon for マニュエル・ボンパール

マニュエル・ボンパール

$2,899,220 Vol.

1%

icon for グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

$3,224,372 Vol.

1%

icon for オリヴィエ・フォール

オリヴィエ・フォール

$2,487,041 Vol.

1%

icon for ミシェル・バルニエ

ミシェル・バルニエ

$3,348,625 Vol.

1%

icon for フランソワ・バイルー

フランソワ・バイルー

$3,751,891 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The wide-open 2027 French presidential contest stems from Emmanuel Macron’s term limits and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal challenges, which have fragmented voter preferences across a crowded field. Recent announcements have reinforced this dispersion: Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 confirmation of another left-wing bid and Édouard Philippe’s launch of a center-right campaign have kept the two leading contenders, Jordan Bardella and Philippe, within a few points of each other at 23.5 percent and 19.5 percent. Trader consensus reflects the importance of first-round positioning and potential second-round alliances, with no candidate yet securing broad cross-bloc support. Further clarity on left-wing coordination or shifts in National Rally momentum could separate probabilities ahead of the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$71,907,789
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The wide-open 2027 French presidential contest stems from Emmanuel Macron’s term limits and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal challenges, which have fragmented voter preferences across a crowded field. Recent announcements have reinforced this dispersion: Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 3 confirmation of another left-wing bid and Édouard Philippe’s launch of a center-right campaign have kept the two leading contenders, Jordan Bardella and Philippe, within a few points of each other at 23.5 percent and 19.5 percent. Trader consensus reflects the importance of first-round positioning and potential second-round alliances, with no candidate yet securing broad cross-bloc support. Further clarity on left-wing coordination or shifts in National Rally momentum could separate probabilities ahead of the April vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$71,907,789
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」はPolymarket上の36個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョルダン・バルデラ」で24%、次いで「エドゥアール・フィリップ」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次回のフランス大統領選挙」は$71.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている36個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョルダン・バルデラ」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エドゥアール・フィリップ」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次回のフランス大統領選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。