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政治·プライマリ

FL -09共和党予備選

icon for FL -09共和党予備選
政治·プライマリ

FL -09共和党予備選

マーカス・カーター 56%

トーマス・シャリフー 27%

ジャスティン・ストーリー 12%

ホルヘ・マラベット 8%

Polymarket

$18,932 Vol.

マーカス・カーター 56%

トーマス・シャリフー 27%

ジャスティン・ストーリー 12%

ホルヘ・マラベット 8%

Polymarket

$18,932 Vol.

マーカス・カーター

$445 Vol.

56%

トーマス・シャリフー

$918 Vol.

27%

ジャスティン・ストーリー

$7,622 Vol.

30%

ホルヘ・マラベット

$2,193 Vol.

8%

ハワード・スティーブン・ランス

$7,756 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in the FL-09 Republican primary following his endorsement last week by the American Patriot Executive Committee, bolstering his name recognition from the 2024 general election cycle. Thomas Chalifoux holds second at 28.5% after self-funding an additional $3 million into his campaign three days ago, building on prior personal investments and his veteran background to challenge the incumbent Democrat in the redrawn district now boasting stronger GOP prospects with 41% Hispanic voters. Fighter pilot Justin Story surged to 26.5% with his formal entry confirmed two days ago, while Jorge Malavet and Howard Steven Rance trail amid limited recent momentum ahead of the August 18 primary. No public polls exist, leaving odds driven by fundraising and endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$18,932
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in the FL-09 Republican primary following his endorsement last week by the American Patriot Executive Committee, bolstering his name recognition from the 2024 general election cycle. Thomas Chalifoux holds second at 28.5% after self-funding an additional $3 million into his campaign three days ago, building on prior personal investments and his veteran background to challenge the incumbent Democrat in the redrawn district now boasting stronger GOP prospects with 41% Hispanic voters. Fighter pilot Justin Story surged to 26.5% with his formal entry confirmed two days ago, while Jorge Malavet and Howard Steven Rance trail amid limited recent momentum ahead of the August 18 primary. No public polls exist, leaving odds driven by fundraising and endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$18,932
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「FL -09共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーカス・カーター」で56%、次いで「ジャスティン・ストーリー」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FL -09共和党予備選」は$18.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FL -09共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -09共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーカス・カーター」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジャスティン・ストーリー」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -09共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。