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政治·プライマリ

FL -09共和党予備選

icon for FL -09共和党予備選
政治·プライマリ

FL -09共和党予備選

トーマス・シャリフー 77%

ジャスティン・ストーリー 9.7%

マーカス・カーター 5.0%

ハワード・スティーブン・ランス 3.5%

Polymarket

$20,625 Vol.

トーマス・シャリフー 77%

ジャスティン・ストーリー 9.7%

マーカス・カーター 5.0%

ハワード・スティーブン・ランス 3.5%

Polymarket

$20,625 Vol.

トーマス・シャリフー

$1,418 Vol.

77%

ジャスティン・ストーリー

$8,165 Vol.

10%

マーカス・カーター

$600 Vol.

5%

ハワード・スティーブン・ランス

$7,925 Vol.

3%

ホルヘ・マラベット

$2,516 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The redrawn Florida's 9th Congressional District, now favoring Republicans following the May 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, has drawn a crowded primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steve Rance and Thomas Chalifoux remain closely matched in trader consensus due to their respective profiles—Rance's military background and Chalifoux's prior nomination and stronger fundraising totals—while lower-polling candidates like Justin Story, Marcus Carter, and Jorge Malavet trail with limited visibility or resources. The tight spread reflects limited polling data, similar levels of establishment support, and uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing in the final weeks before the primary. Upcoming endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in campaign spending could widen the gap ahead of election night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,625
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The redrawn Florida's 9th Congressional District, now favoring Republicans following the May 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, has drawn a crowded primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steve Rance and Thomas Chalifoux remain closely matched in trader consensus due to their respective profiles—Rance's military background and Chalifoux's prior nomination and stronger fundraising totals—while lower-polling candidates like Justin Story, Marcus Carter, and Jorge Malavet trail with limited visibility or resources. The tight spread reflects limited polling data, similar levels of establishment support, and uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing in the final weeks before the primary. Upcoming endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in campaign spending could widen the gap ahead of election night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,625
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「FL -09共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トーマス・シャリフー」で77%、次いで「ジャスティン・ストーリー」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FL -09共和党予備選」は$20.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FL -09共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FL -09共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「トーマス・シャリフー」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジャスティン・ストーリー」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FL -09共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。