David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin under 1 percentage point, consistent with the dominant market pricing on a sub-1% outcome. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment-backed candidate endorsed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that favored Hong's progressive platform through strong performance in Milwaukee and last-minute shifts among undecided voters. Multiple candidates, including former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez, had withdrawn earlier, consolidating support behind Crowley. Final certification and any remaining vote tabulation represent the primary outstanding factors that could still adjust the exact margin, though current counts indicate limited room for reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日クロウリー <1％ 98.6%
クロウリー 1～2％ <1%
クロウリー 2～3％ <1%
クラウリー 3～4% <1%
$106,430 Vol.
$106,430 Vol.
2026/08/13
ホン 6％以上
<1%
ホン 5〜6%
<1%
ホン 4～5％
<1%
ホン 3〜4％
<1%
ホン 2～3％
<1%
ホン 1～2％
<1%
ホン <1％
<1%
クロウリー <1％
99%
クロウリー 1～2％
<1%
クロウリー 2～3％
<1%
クラウリー 3～4%
<1%
クロウリー 4〜5％
<1%
クロウリー 5〜6%
<1%
クロウリー 6%以上
<1%
クロウリー <1％ 98.6%
クロウリー 1～2％ <1%
クロウリー 2～3％ <1%
クラウリー 3～4% <1%
$106,430 Vol.
$106,430 Vol.
2026/08/13
ホン 6％以上
$13,198 Vol.
<1%
ホン 5〜6%
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
ホン 4～5％
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
ホン 3〜4％
$11,011 Vol.
<1%
ホン 2～3％
$2,738 Vol.
<1%
ホン 1～2％
$8,472 Vol.
<1%
ホン <1％
$4,537 Vol.
<1%
クロウリー <1％
$18,969 Vol.
99%
クロウリー 1～2％
$11,795 Vol.
<1%
クロウリー 2～3％
$9,905 Vol.
<1%
クラウリー 3～4%
$9,013 Vol.
<1%
クロウリー 4〜5％
$2,286 Vol.
<1%
クロウリー 5〜6%
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
クロウリー 6%以上
$4,102 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin under 1 percentage point, consistent with the dominant market pricing on a sub-1% outcome. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment-backed candidate endorsed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that favored Hong's progressive platform through strong performance in Milwaukee and last-minute shifts among undecided voters. Multiple candidates, including former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez, had withdrawn earlier, consolidating support behind Crowley. Final certification and any remaining vote tabulation represent the primary outstanding factors that could still adjust the exact margin, though current counts indicate limited room for reversal.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
音量
$106,430終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin under 1 percentage point, consistent with the dominant market pricing on a sub-1% outcome. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment-backed candidate endorsed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that favored Hong's progressive platform through strong performance in Milwaukee and last-minute shifts among undecided voters. Multiple candidates, including former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez, had withdrawn earlier, consolidating support behind Crowley. Final certification and any remaining vote tabulation represent the primary outstanding factors that could still adjust the exact margin, though current counts indicate limited room for reversal.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$106,430終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin under 1 percentage point, consistent with the dominant market pricing on a sub-1% outcome. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive and establishment-backed candidate endorsed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that favored Hong's progressive platform through strong performance in Milwaukee and last-minute shifts among undecided voters. Multiple candidates, including former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez, had withdrawn earlier, consolidating support behind Crowley. Final certification and any remaining vote tabulation represent the primary outstanding factors that could still adjust the exact margin, though current counts indicate limited room for reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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