The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary continues to fragment voter support, leaving first-place odds tightly clustered near even money for multiple contenders. Tom Begich, the leading Democrat and former Senate minority leader, benefits from more consolidated backing compared to the Republican side, where figures like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, and Shelley Hughes divide conservative votes. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets in July have offered limited separation, while late entry by former Governor Bill Walker adds further uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation and the short timeline to election day, with polling averages showing no dominant frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 43%
マット・ヘイララ 38%
ジェームズ・パーキン 37%
ブルース・ウォールデン 37%

トム・ベギッチ
56%

マット・ヘイララ
38%

ジェームズ・パーキン
37%

ブルース・ウォールデン
37%

デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
37%

クリック・ビショップ
37%

エドナ・デブリーズ
37%

マット・クラマン
37%

レスリー・マグワイア
37%

ビル・ウォーカー
37%

デイブ・ブロンソン
36%

トレグ・テイラー
36%

ハンク・クロール
34%

アダム・クラム
32%

シェリー・ヒューズ
32%

ジェシカ・フェアクロス
32%

バーナデット・ウィルソン
31%

グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
25%

ジョナサン・クライス=トムキンス
25%

ナンシー・ダールストロム
20%
トム・ベギッチ 43%
マット・ヘイララ 38%
ジェームズ・パーキン 37%
ブルース・ウォールデン 37%

トム・ベギッチ
56%

マット・ヘイララ
38%

ジェームズ・パーキン
37%

ブルース・ウォールデン
37%

デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
37%

クリック・ビショップ
37%

エドナ・デブリーズ
37%

マット・クラマン
37%

レスリー・マグワイア
37%

ビル・ウォーカー
37%

デイブ・ブロンソン
36%

トレグ・テイラー
36%

ハンク・クロール
34%

アダム・クラム
32%

シェリー・ヒューズ
32%

ジェシカ・フェアクロス
32%

バーナデット・ウィルソン
31%

グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
25%

ジョナサン・クライス=トムキンス
25%

ナンシー・ダールストロム
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary continues to fragment voter support, leaving first-place odds tightly clustered near even money for multiple contenders. Tom Begich, the leading Democrat and former Senate minority leader, benefits from more consolidated backing compared to the Republican side, where figures like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, and Shelley Hughes divide conservative votes. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets in July have offered limited separation, while late entry by former Governor Bill Walker adds further uncertainty. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation and the short timeline to election day, with polling averages showing no dominant frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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