This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the Alaska governor market at 30% due to his established name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader and family ties to a sitting U.S. representative, while Bernadette Wilson sits at 23.5% as an early-filing Republican business owner with conservative activist support. The August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, fragments support across a large field that includes Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and independents such as Bill Walker. Recent candidate filings closed June 1 with limited dropouts like Nancy Dahlstrom, leaving traders focused on early fundraising, running-mate selections, and crossover appeal in a state where no incumbent seeks reelection. Separation among contenders will likely hinge on primary turnout, endorsements, and performance in the final weeks before the top four advance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads the Alaska governor market at 30% due to his established name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader and family ties to a sitting U.S. representative, while Bernadette Wilson sits at 23.5% as an early-filing Republican business owner with conservative activist support. The August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, fragments support across a large field that includes Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and independents such as Bill Walker. Recent candidate filings closed June 1 with limited dropouts like Nancy Dahlstrom, leaving traders focused on early fundraising, running-mate selections, and crossover appeal in a state where no incumbent seeks reelection. Separation among contenders will likely hinge on primary turnout, endorsements, and performance in the final weeks before the top four advance.
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the Alaska governor market at 30% due to his established name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader and family ties to a sitting U.S. representative, while Bernadette Wilson sits at 23.5% as an early-filing Republican business owner with conservative activist support. The August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, fragments support across a large field that includes Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and independents such as Bill Walker. Recent candidate filings closed June 1 with limited dropouts like Nancy Dahlstrom, leaving traders focused on early fundraising, running-mate selections, and crossover appeal in a state where no incumbent seeks reelection. Separation among contenders will likely hinge on primary turnout, endorsements, and performance in the final weeks before the top four advance.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads the Alaska governor market at 30% due to his established name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader and family ties to a sitting U.S. representative, while Bernadette Wilson sits at 23.5% as an early-filing Republican business owner with conservative activist support. The August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general, fragments support across a large field that includes Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Dave Bronson, Click Bishop, and independents such as Bill Walker. Recent candidate filings closed June 1 with limited dropouts like Nancy Dahlstrom, leaving traders focused on early fundraising, running-mate selections, and crossover appeal in a state where no incumbent seeks reelection. Separation among contenders will likely hinge on primary turnout, endorsements, and performance in the final weeks before the top four advance.
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
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