Alaska's November 3, 2026, ballot features Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system enacted in 2020 and restore partisan primaries with plurality winners. Trader odds near 50.5% for passage reflect the 2024 repeal initiative's record-narrow defeat by just 737 votes out of over 320,000 cast. Recent signature gathering succeeded despite that result, backed by substantial funding including $1.5 million from Elon Musk, while surveys indicate many voters view the current system as straightforward and competitive. The tight balance hinges on turnout patterns, campaign intensity through fall, and any shifts in public sentiment ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
51% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
51% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).Alaska's November 3, 2026, ballot features Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system enacted in 2020 and restore partisan primaries with plurality winners. Trader odds near 50.5% for passage reflect the 2024 repeal initiative's record-narrow defeat by just 737 votes out of over 320,000 cast. Recent signature gathering succeeded despite that result, backed by substantial funding including $1.5 million from Elon Musk, while surveys indicate many voters view the current system as straightforward and competitive. The tight balance hinges on turnout patterns, campaign intensity through fall, and any shifts in public sentiment ahead of the general election.
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).Alaska's November 3, 2026, ballot features Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system enacted in 2020 and restore partisan primaries with plurality winners. Trader odds near 50.5% for passage reflect the 2024 repeal initiative's record-narrow defeat by just 737 votes out of over 320,000 cast. Recent signature gathering succeeded despite that result, backed by substantial funding including $1.5 million from Elon Musk, while surveys indicate many voters view the current system as straightforward and competitive. The tight balance hinges on turnout patterns, campaign intensity through fall, and any shifts in public sentiment ahead of the general election.
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's November 3, 2026, ballot features Measure 2, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system enacted in 2020 and restore partisan primaries with plurality winners. Trader odds near 50.5% for passage reflect the 2024 repeal initiative's record-narrow defeat by just 737 votes out of over 320,000 cast. Recent signature gathering succeeded despite that result, backed by substantial funding including $1.5 million from Elon Musk, while surveys indicate many voters view the current system as straightforward and competitive. The tight balance hinges on turnout patterns, campaign intensity through fall, and any shifts in public sentiment ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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