**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback <10% 45%
Fishback 10–15% 45%
Fishback 15–20% 45%
Fishback 20–25% 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
Fishback <10%
45%
Fishback 10–15%
45%
Fishback 15–20%
45%
Fishback 20–25%
44%
Fishback 25–30%
44%
Fishback 30%+
44%
Fishback <10% 45%
Fishback 10–15% 45%
Fishback 15–20% 45%
Fishback 20–25% 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
Fishback <10%
$0 Vol.
45%
Fishback 10–15%
$0 Vol.
45%
Fishback 15–20%
$0 Vol.
45%
Fishback 20–25%
$0 Vol.
44%
Fishback 25–30%
$0 Vol.
44%
Fishback 30%+
$0 Vol.
44%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent legal and campaign developments have kept trader assessments of James Fishback’s performance in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary highly uncertain.** A lawsuit filed by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins challenges Fishback’s eligibility under the state constitution’s seven-year residency requirement, citing his voter registration and property ties in Washington, D.C.; Fishback has rejected the claims and highlighted his Florida driver’s license and roots as a fourth-generation Floridian. In a field led by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds—who holds a commanding lead in fundraising, Trump endorsement, and polling—Fishback has positioned himself as an insurgent focused on housing affordability, wages, and immigration while naming Sean A. Lozano as his running mate and pressing for debates. These factors, combined with modest campaign resources and limited established support among Republican primary voters, sustain wide dispersion across vote-share outcomes. Resolution of the ballot challenge, debate participation, or new polling could shift probabilities in either direction ahead of the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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