Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision substantially altered Alabama's 2nd congressional district boundaries, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to a seat where Republican presidential performance would have been stronger by double digits. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. Analysts at the Cook Political Report have rated the race as favoring Republicans due to the revised partisan composition and limited crossover appeal in the updated electorate. The November 3 general election occurs amid these structural changes, with trader pricing reflecting the district's new alignment and candidate positioning rather than national midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,563 Vol.
$39,563 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$39,563 Vol.
$39,563 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$20,300 Vol.
75%
民主党
$19,264 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision substantially altered Alabama's 2nd congressional district boundaries, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to a seat where Republican presidential performance would have been stronger by double digits. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. Analysts at the Cook Political Report have rated the race as favoring Republicans due to the revised partisan composition and limited crossover appeal in the updated electorate. The November 3 general election occurs amid these structural changes, with trader pricing reflecting the district's new alignment and candidate positioning rather than national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$39,563終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision substantially altered Alabama's 2nd congressional district boundaries, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to a seat where Republican presidential performance would have been stronger by double digits. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. Analysts at the Cook Political Report have rated the race as favoring Republicans due to the revised partisan composition and limited crossover appeal in the updated electorate. The November 3 general election occurs amid these structural changes, with trader pricing reflecting the district's new alignment and candidate positioning rather than national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,563終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision substantially altered Alabama's 2nd congressional district boundaries, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to a seat where Republican presidential performance would have been stronger by double digits. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary. Analysts at the Cook Political Report have rated the race as favoring Republicans due to the revised partisan composition and limited crossover appeal in the updated electorate. The November 3 general election occurs amid these structural changes, with trader pricing reflecting the district's new alignment and candidate positioning rather than national midterm dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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