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Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

icon for California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 89.8%

Steve Hilton 7.8%

Chad Bianco <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$40,111,733 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 89.8%

Steve Hilton 7.8%

Chad Bianco <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$40,111,733 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$1,615,726 Vol.

90%

Steve Hilton

$2,427,007 Vol.

8%

Chad Bianco

$1,896,717 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$1,789,157 Vol.

<1%

Katie Porter

$1,764,756 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$1,570,495 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$1,746,897 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,827,620 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$1,430,039 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,418,719 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$1,092,595 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$1,494,958 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$1,560,891 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$1,260,159 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$1,991,229 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$1,612,702 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$1,311,168 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$1,556,422 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$1,390,427 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$1,545,438 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$1,776,860 Vol.

<1%

Tom Steyer

$4,684,280 Vol.

<1%

Matt Mahan

$1,347,473 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds an 88.7% implied probability in the California governor race because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary produced a November general election matchup between the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and Republican Steve Hilton in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Becerra consolidated Democratic support after surging in late primary returns, securing roughly 28% of the vote and advancing alongside Hilton, who finished second. Historical patterns, including Democratic performance in recent gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races, plus Becerra’s prior statewide experience and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus. Hilton’s lower share reflects structural barriers for Republican candidates in California, despite his emphasis on regulatory and tax changes. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent unforeseen events.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
音量
$40,111,733
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds an 88.7% implied probability in the California governor race because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary produced a November general election matchup between the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and Republican Steve Hilton in a state with consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Becerra consolidated Democratic support after surging in late primary returns, securing roughly 28% of the vote and advancing alongside Hilton, who finished second. Historical patterns, including Democratic performance in recent gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races, plus Becerra’s prior statewide experience and endorsements from party leaders, underpin trader consensus. Hilton’s lower share reflects structural barriers for Republican candidates in California, despite his emphasis on regulatory and tax changes. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent unforeseen events.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
音量
$40,111,733
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「California Governor Election Winner」はPolymarket上の23個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Xavier Becerra」で90%、次いで「Steve Hilton」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「California Governor Election Winner」は$40.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 9, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「California Governor Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている23個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「California Governor Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Xavier Becerra」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Steve Hilton」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「California Governor Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。