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icon for カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者

カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者

icon for カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者

カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for スティーブ・ヒルトン

スティーブ・ヒルトン

$147 Vol.

57%

icon for ザビエル・ベセラ

ザビエル・ベセラ

$825 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a modest edge in Fresno County trader pricing for the November general election, reflecting the Central Valley's more conservative electorate and emphasis on cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and state spending compared to coastal trends. The June primary results showed Hilton outperforming other Republicans locally while Becerra consolidated Democratic support statewide after a crowded field narrowed to the top two. Hilton's platform of tax relief, utility cost reductions, and criticism of Democratic governance aligns with county voter concerns, though Becerra's record on healthcare and legal challenges to federal policy maintains a base. Local endorsements and turnout efforts in battleground precincts could widen or close the gap before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
音量
$972
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a modest edge in Fresno County trader pricing for the November general election, reflecting the Central Valley's more conservative electorate and emphasis on cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and state spending compared to coastal trends. The June primary results showed Hilton outperforming other Republicans locally while Becerra consolidated Democratic support statewide after a crowded field narrowed to the top two. Hilton's platform of tax relief, utility cost reductions, and criticism of Democratic governance aligns with county voter concerns, though Becerra's record on healthcare and legal challenges to federal policy maintains a base. Local endorsements and turnout efforts in battleground precincts could widen or close the gap before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
音量
$972
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.

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よくある質問

「カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で56%、次いで「ザビエル・ベセラ」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 1, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブ・ヒルトン」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ザビエル・ベセラ」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カリフォルニア州知事選挙:フレズノ郡の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。