Recent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic lead of roughly 7 points, fueled by low presidential approval ratings near 38 percent and widespread voter frustration with economic conditions, underpin trader pricing across Democratic margin outcomes. The leading "Other" category at 45.5 percent reflects substantial uncertainty over the precise national popular vote spread, as turnout patterns among independents, younger voters, and key demographics remain fluid with six weeks until Election Day. Recent surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and YouGov/Economist have reinforced this edge without locking in a narrow band, while smaller Republican margin probabilities align with historical midterm swings that could still narrow the gap through late-cycle shifts in enthusiasm or events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党 8-10% 28%
民主党 6～8％ 21%
民主党 10-12% 20%
民主党 4-6% 12%
$135,727 Vol.
$135,727 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党 16％以上
1%
民主党 14-16％
2%
民主党 12〜14％
7%
民主党 10-12%
20%
民主党 8-10%
28%
民主党 6～8％
21%
民主党 4-6%
12%
民主党 2-4％
6%
民主党 0～2％
2%
共和党 0〜2%
4%
共和党 2～4％
3%
共和党 4～6％
1%
共和党 6％以上
1%
民主党 8-10% 28%
民主党 6～8％ 21%
民主党 10-12% 20%
民主党 4-6% 12%
$135,727 Vol.
$135,727 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党 16％以上
$3,561 Vol.
1%
民主党 14-16％
$3,412 Vol.
2%
民主党 12〜14％
$4,633 Vol.
7%
民主党 10-12%
$8,975 Vol.
20%
民主党 8-10%
$14,498 Vol.
28%
民主党 6～8％
$15,674 Vol.
21%
民主党 4-6%
$7,010 Vol.
12%
民主党 2-4％
$15,637 Vol.
6%
民主党 0～2％
$18,277 Vol.
2%
共和党 0〜2%
$5,931 Vol.
4%
共和党 2～4％
$30,409 Vol.
3%
共和党 4～6％
$3,748 Vol.
1%
共和党 6％以上
$3,962 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic lead of roughly 7 points, fueled by low presidential approval ratings near 38 percent and widespread voter frustration with economic conditions, underpin trader pricing across Democratic margin outcomes. The leading "Other" category at 45.5 percent reflects substantial uncertainty over the precise national popular vote spread, as turnout patterns among independents, younger voters, and key demographics remain fluid with six weeks until Election Day. Recent surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and YouGov/Economist have reinforced this edge without locking in a narrow band, while smaller Republican margin probabilities align with historical midterm swings that could still narrow the gap through late-cycle shifts in enthusiasm or events.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$135,727終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic lead of roughly 7 points, fueled by low presidential approval ratings near 38 percent and widespread voter frustration with economic conditions, underpin trader pricing across Democratic margin outcomes. The leading "Other" category at 45.5 percent reflects substantial uncertainty over the precise national popular vote spread, as turnout patterns among independents, younger voters, and key demographics remain fluid with six weeks until Election Day. Recent surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and YouGov/Economist have reinforced this edge without locking in a narrow band, while smaller Republican margin probabilities align with historical midterm swings that could still narrow the gap through late-cycle shifts in enthusiasm or events.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$135,727終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic lead of roughly 7 points, fueled by low presidential approval ratings near 38 percent and widespread voter frustration with economic conditions, underpin trader pricing across Democratic margin outcomes. The leading "Other" category at 45.5 percent reflects substantial uncertainty over the precise national popular vote spread, as turnout patterns among independents, younger voters, and key demographics remain fluid with six weeks until Election Day. Recent surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and YouGov/Economist have reinforced this edge without locking in a narrow band, while smaller Republican margin probabilities align with historical midterm swings that could still narrow the gap through late-cycle shifts in enthusiasm or events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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