Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億2000万〜1億2500万 25%
1億1500万～1億2000万 19%
1億1000万～1億1500万 12%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 12%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
3%
8,500万～9,000万
1%
9,000万〜9,500万
2%
9,500万〜1億
3%
1億〜1億500万
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
6%
1億1000万～1億1500万
12%
1億1500万～1億2000万
19%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
25%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
12%
1億3,000万以上
11%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 25%
1億1500万～1億2000万 19%
1億1000万～1億1500万 12%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 12%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$572 Vol.
3%
8,500万～9,000万
$587 Vol.
1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,723 Vol.
2%
9,500万〜1億
$380 Vol.
3%
1億〜1億500万
$971 Vol.
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$931 Vol.
6%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$3,828 Vol.
12%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$3,958 Vol.
19%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$7,063 Vol.
25%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$2,027 Vol.
12%
1億3,000万以上
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$22,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$22,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Midterm House turnout expectations cluster tightly around 115-125 million votes as traders weigh Democratic engagement advantages against typical off-year patterns. Recent generic ballot polls show Democrats leading by 6-7 points with higher reported interest among their voters, while special election results indicate sustained overperformance relative to 2024 baselines. Primary turnout data through July 2026 reveals mixed state-level participation that aligns with historical midterm averages in many places yet exceeds targets in others. Redistricting changes, competitive districts, and mobilization efforts around issues such as the economy further support elevated but not record turnout. Late-cycle developments including national polling shifts or mobilization drives could separate the leading ranges before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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