Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1億2500万〜1億3000万 28%
1億3,000万以上 28%
1億1500万～1億2000万 15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
1%
9,500万〜1億
2%
1億〜1億500万
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
4%
1億1000万～1億1500万
11%
1億1500万～1億2000万
15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
23%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
28%
1億3,000万以上
28%
1億2500万〜1億3000万 28%
1億3,000万以上 28%
1億1500万～1億2000万 15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
8,500万未満
$324 Vol.
<1%
8,500万～9,000万
$419 Vol.
<1%
9,000万〜9,500万
$1,552 Vol.
1%
9,500万〜1億
$269 Vol.
2%
1億〜1億500万
$791 Vol.
1%
1億500万〜1億1,000万
$436 Vol.
4%
1億1000万～1億1500万
$526 Vol.
11%
1億1500万～1億2000万
$1,025 Vol.
15%
1億2000万〜1億2500万
$408 Vol.
23%
1億2500万〜1億3000万
$1,199 Vol.
28%
1億3,000万以上
$294 Vol.
28%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
音量
$7,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$7,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 130 million-plus House votes at 26% and 125-130 million at 25.5%, reflecting expectations of elevated midterm turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million amid President Trump's second-term polarization and competitive generic ballot polls showing Democrats with narrow leads. Record early voting in North Carolina's March primary and Democratic overperformance in April special elections signal robust mobilization across key voting blocs, echoing 2018's 119 million peak despite fewer competitive districts from gerrymandering. Tight odds stem from uncertainty in base turnout rates versus enthusiasm drivers like economic conditions; upcoming primaries, summer polling averages, and registration surges could widen gaps toward higher brackets if national engagement intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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