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icon for クスコ市長選挙の勝者

クスコ市長選挙の勝者

icon for クスコ市長選挙の勝者

クスコ市長選挙の勝者

イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ 66%

ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン 28%

エウロヒオ・タピア・デサ 24%

アルベルト・アニバル・アレナス・ヤバル 12%

Polymarket
新規

イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ 66%

ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン 28%

エウロヒオ・タピア・デサ 24%

アルベルト・アニバル・アレナス・ヤバル 12%

Polymarket
新規
icon for イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ

イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ

$83 Vol.

66%

icon for ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン

ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン

$130 Vol.

28%

icon for エウロヒオ・タピア・デサ

エウロヒオ・タピア・デサ

$83 Vol.

24%

icon for アルベルト・アニバル・アレナス・ヤバル

アルベルト・アニバル・アレナス・ヤバル

$106 Vol.

12%

icon for ヴィクトル・ビダル・ピノ・サンブラノ

ヴィクトル・ビダル・ピノ・サンブラノ

$104 Vol.

12%

icon for エリサベス・モニカ・ニエト・アルバレス

エリサベス・モニカ・ニエト・アルバレス

$143 Vol.

10%

icon for エドゥアルド・ザンス・ロアイサ

エドゥアルド・ザンス・ロアイサ

$104 Vol.

9%

icon for ガブリエラ・パリサ・ロメロ

ガブリエラ・パリサ・ロメロ

$83 Vol.

9%

icon for セルヒオ・スルカ・コンドリ

セルヒオ・スルカ・コンドリ

$96 Vol.

7%

icon for ホルヘ・ルイス・セグラ・ティト

ホルヘ・ルイス・セグラ・ティト

$111 Vol.

7%

icon for ジェシカ・ゲバラ・ビジャヌエバ

ジェシカ・ゲバラ・ビジャヌエバ

$124 Vol.

6%

icon for デルフィン・ケネディ・キスペ・カラ

デルフィン・ケネディ・キスペ・カラ

$106 Vol.

4%

icon for ホルヘ・ロヘリオ・バルガス・フェブレス

ホルヘ・ロヘリオ・バルガス・フェブレス

$128 Vol.

14%

icon for フェデリコ・ワマン・タパラ

フェデリコ・ワマン・タパラ

$160 Vol.

12%

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
音量
$1,557
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
音量
$1,557
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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よくある質問

「クスコ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ」で33%、次いで「ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「クスコ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「クスコ市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「クスコ市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「イバン・ウルタド・ビジャフエルテ」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ウィリアム・ペーニャ・ファルファン」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「クスコ市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。