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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Santiago Abascal 45%

Ester Muñoz 44%

Pedro Sánchez 44%

María Jesús Montero 44%

Polymarket
新規

Santiago Abascal 45%

Ester Muñoz 44%

Pedro Sánchez 44%

María Jesús Montero 44%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$106 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$106
終了日
2028/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$106
終了日
2028/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Santiago Abascal」で46%、次いで「Ester Muñoz」が45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Santiago Abascal」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Ester Muñoz」で45%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Prime Minister of Spain?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。