Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus as the likely next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge heading into the general election due no later than August 2027. Sánchez’s minority PSOE government lost its parliamentary majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025 and now operates under repeated budgets amid ongoing corruption investigations and the Ceuta migration crisis. Recent polls show PP-Vox combinations positioned for an absolute majority in Congress, while Sánchez’s approval remains low and his coalition partners face internal strains. Feijóo has signaled openness to post-election arrangements with Vox, reinforcing the market’s pricing of a leadership transition over incumbent continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.7%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
3%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.7%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
3%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader consensus as the likely next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge heading into the general election due no later than August 2027. Sánchez’s minority PSOE government lost its parliamentary majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025 and now operates under repeated budgets amid ongoing corruption investigations and the Ceuta migration crisis. Recent polls show PP-Vox combinations positioned for an absolute majority in Congress, while Sánchez’s approval remains low and his coalition partners face internal strains. Feijóo has signaled openness to post-election arrangements with Vox, reinforcing the market’s pricing of a leadership transition over incumbent continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問