Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027. Trader consensus reflects the PP’s stronger position in aggregates and regional gains, alongside the challenges facing incumbent Pedro Sánchez at 14.8%, including coalition fragility after partial withdrawals of support from parties like Junts, multiple corruption investigations tied to PSOE figures, and public disapproval ratings near 79%. The recent Ceuta migrant influx has intensified criticism of government border management and fueled opposition attacks, though Sánchez continues to project continuity through 2031. Lower-priced options such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso trail due to limited paths to investiture without broader alliances. The market prices the wisdom of crowds on these parliamentary and polling dynamics rather than guaranteeing outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
3%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
イサベル・ディアス・アユソ
3%
カルロス・クエルポ
<1%
オスカル・プエンテ
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition Partido Popular, which maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of Spain’s next general election due no later than August 2027. Trader consensus reflects the PP’s stronger position in aggregates and regional gains, alongside the challenges facing incumbent Pedro Sánchez at 14.8%, including coalition fragility after partial withdrawals of support from parties like Junts, multiple corruption investigations tied to PSOE figures, and public disapproval ratings near 79%. The recent Ceuta migrant influx has intensified criticism of government border management and fueled opposition attacks, though Sánchez continues to project continuity through 2031. Lower-priced options such as Santiago Abascal and Isabel Díaz Ayuso trail due to limited paths to investiture without broader alliances. The market prices the wisdom of crowds on these parliamentary and polling dynamics rather than guaranteeing outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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