Recent polling shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by Sweden Democrats) heading into the 13 September election. This gap, driven by voter concerns over household costs, crime, energy and integration, has narrowed only modestly in August and leaves the current minority government facing likely defeat. Post-election Riksdag negotiations will determine whether a Social Democrat-led cabinet incorporates the Greens, Centre or Left parties, or whether the right bloc can secure a renewed Tidö-style arrangement, possibly with Sweden Democrats gaining formal cabinet seats. The Liberals’ sub-threshold polling adds further uncertainty to any right-leaning majority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2027/01/31
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
92%
Green Party (MP)
79%
Left Party (V)
72%
Centre Party (C)
72%
Liberals (L)
27%
Christian Democrats (KD)
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
7%
Moderate Party (M)
47%
$7,978 Vol.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,308 Vol.
92%
Green Party (MP)
$954 Vol.
79%
Left Party (V)
$968 Vol.
72%
Centre Party (C)
$725 Vol.
72%
Liberals (L)
$1,159 Vol.
27%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$925 Vol.
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$869 Vol.
10%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$26 Vol.
7%
Moderate Party (M)
$45 Vol.
47%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by Sweden Democrats) heading into the 13 September election. This gap, driven by voter concerns over household costs, crime, energy and integration, has narrowed only modestly in August and leaves the current minority government facing likely defeat. Post-election Riksdag negotiations will determine whether a Social Democrat-led cabinet incorporates the Greens, Centre or Left parties, or whether the right bloc can secure a renewed Tidö-style arrangement, possibly with Sweden Democrats gaining formal cabinet seats. The Liberals’ sub-threshold polling adds further uncertainty to any right-leaning majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
音量
$7,978終了日
2027/01/31マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by Sweden Democrats) heading into the 13 September election. This gap, driven by voter concerns over household costs, crime, energy and integration, has narrowed only modestly in August and leaves the current minority government facing likely defeat. Post-election Riksdag negotiations will determine whether a Social Democrat-led cabinet incorporates the Greens, Centre or Left parties, or whether the right bloc can secure a renewed Tidö-style arrangement, possibly with Sweden Democrats gaining formal cabinet seats. The Liberals’ sub-threshold polling adds further uncertainty to any right-leaning majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
音量
$7,978終了日
2027/01/31マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a roughly 10-point lead over the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals backed by Sweden Democrats) heading into the 13 September election. This gap, driven by voter concerns over household costs, crime, energy and integration, has narrowed only modestly in August and leaves the current minority government facing likely defeat. Post-election Riksdag negotiations will determine whether a Social Democrat-led cabinet incorporates the Greens, Centre or Left parties, or whether the right bloc can secure a renewed Tidö-style arrangement, possibly with Sweden Democrats gaining formal cabinet seats. The Liberals’ sub-threshold polling adds further uncertainty to any right-leaning majority.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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