The razor-thin August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Representative Francesca Hong remains unresolved, with Crowley holding a narrow lead of a few thousand votes as absentee and provisional ballots continue to be counted in key areas like Milwaukee County. Delayed tabulation from administrative issues and the race's shift after earlier withdrawals have extended uncertainty, directly influencing trader views on how quickly the trailing candidate will issue a concession. Historical patterns in close Wisconsin contests show concessions typically follow clear certification or decisive margins, though prolonged counting or legal challenges could extend the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/30
8月12日
21%
8月13日
67%
8月15日
77%
$235 Vol.
8月12日
$142 Vol.
21%
8月13日
$93 Vol.
67%
8月15日
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.The razor-thin August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Representative Francesca Hong remains unresolved, with Crowley holding a narrow lead of a few thousand votes as absentee and provisional ballots continue to be counted in key areas like Milwaukee County. Delayed tabulation from administrative issues and the race's shift after earlier withdrawals have extended uncertainty, directly influencing trader views on how quickly the trailing candidate will issue a concession. Historical patterns in close Wisconsin contests show concessions typically follow clear certification or decisive margins, though prolonged counting or legal challenges could extend the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ET
音量
$235終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.The razor-thin August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Representative Francesca Hong remains unresolved, with Crowley holding a narrow lead of a few thousand votes as absentee and provisional ballots continue to be counted in key areas like Milwaukee County. Delayed tabulation from administrative issues and the race's shift after earlier withdrawals have extended uncertainty, directly influencing trader views on how quickly the trailing candidate will issue a concession. Historical patterns in close Wisconsin contests show concessions typically follow clear certification or decisive margins, though prolonged counting or legal challenges could extend the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$235終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The razor-thin August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Representative Francesca Hong remains unresolved, with Crowley holding a narrow lead of a few thousand votes as absentee and provisional ballots continue to be counted in key areas like Milwaukee County. Delayed tabulation from administrative issues and the race's shift after earlier withdrawals have extended uncertainty, directly influencing trader views on how quickly the trailing candidate will issue a concession. Historical patterns in close Wisconsin contests show concessions typically follow clear certification or decisive margins, though prolonged counting or legal challenges could extend the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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