**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Sara Rodriguez 44%
Francesca Hong 39.5%
Mandela Barnes 18%
Zachary Roper <1%
$89,205 Vol.
$89,205 Vol.
Sara Rodriguez
44%
Francesca Hong
40%
Mandela Barnes
18%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Sara Rodriguez 44%
Francesca Hong 39.5%
Mandela Barnes 18%
Zachary Roper <1%
$89,205 Vol.
$89,205 Vol.
Sara Rodriguez
44%
Francesca Hong
40%
Mandela Barnes
18%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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