Following Gov. Tim Walz's January 2026 announcement declining re-election amid criticism over state fraud handling, U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar launched her gubernatorial bid, securing 72% in the February DFL caucus straw poll and raising $4.8 million by mid-April. Her incumbency-free statewide profile from multiple Senate victories, coupled with weak challengers like former pastor Bill Gates Jr. and community organizer Kobey Layne, drives trader consensus to a 94.5% implied probability for the August 11 Democratic primary. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, a high-profile defection, or viable new entrant before the June 2 filing deadline, her nomination remains the baseline expectation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エイミー・クロブシャー 95%
ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.9%
コビー・レイン <1%
スティーブ・サイモン <1%
$21,980 Vol.
$21,980 Vol.
エイミー・クロブシャー
95%
ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア
2%
コビー・レイン
1%
スティーブ・サイモン
<1%
ティム・ウォルツ
<1%
エイミー・クロブシャー 95%
ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア 1.9%
コビー・レイン <1%
スティーブ・サイモン <1%
$21,980 Vol.
$21,980 Vol.
エイミー・クロブシャー
95%
ビル・ゲイツ・ジュニア
2%
コビー・レイン
1%
スティーブ・サイモン
<1%
ティム・ウォルツ
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Gov. Tim Walz's January 2026 announcement declining re-election amid criticism over state fraud handling, U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar launched her gubernatorial bid, securing 72% in the February DFL caucus straw poll and raising $4.8 million by mid-April. Her incumbency-free statewide profile from multiple Senate victories, coupled with weak challengers like former pastor Bill Gates Jr. and community organizer Kobey Layne, drives trader consensus to a 94.5% implied probability for the August 11 Democratic primary. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, a high-profile defection, or viable new entrant before the June 2 filing deadline, her nomination remains the baseline expectation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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