Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーラ 97.7%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
パブロ・マルサル <1%
$12,863 Vol.
$12,863 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
98%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
1%
パブロ・マルサル
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
1%
ゼマ
1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ルーラ 97.7%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
パブロ・マルサル <1%
$12,863 Vol.
$12,863 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
$7,657 Vol.
98%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$418 Vol.
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$473 Vol.
1%
パブロ・マルサル
$500 Vol.
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$412 Vol.
1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$399 Vol.
1%
ゼマ
$515 Vol.
1%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$398 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
$480 Vol.
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$419 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$397 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$477 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$320 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
音量
$12,863終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$12,863終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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