The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains tightly contested in trader pricing because a crowded field of more than 20 declared candidates has produced no clear frontrunner ahead of the October 2026 vote. An early-August Real Time Big Data survey showed the leading names clustered between 21% and 27% in vote intention, with Margareth Buzetti, Mauro Mendes, Janaina Riva, and José Medeiros among those best positioned. Fragmentation across parties, including PP, União Brasil, MDB, PSD, and PL, combined with the state’s agricultural economy and shifting alliances, keeps any single contender below dominant levels. Late-campaign endorsements, additional polling, and turnout patterns in rural areas could widen gaps, while the two-seat structure adds complexity to first-place projections reflected in current market consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マウロ・メンデス 45%
コロネル・ダーウィン 43%
ベニー・ゴドイ 25%
ファヴァロ 24%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
マウロ・メンデス
65%
コロネル・ダーウィン
43%
ベニー・ゴドイ
25%
ファヴァロ
24%
ホセ・メデイロス
24%
マルガレッチ・ブゼッティ
24%
ペドロ・タケス
24%
ガルヴァン
23%
ネルソン・フェレイラ教授
22%
ジャナイナ・リヴァ
21%
マウロ・メンデス 45%
コロネル・ダーウィン 43%
ベニー・ゴドイ 25%
ファヴァロ 24%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
マウロ・メンデス
$60 Vol.
65%
コロネル・ダーウィン
$50 Vol.
43%
ベニー・ゴドイ
$0 Vol.
25%
ファヴァロ
$0 Vol.
24%
ホセ・メデイロス
$0 Vol.
24%
マルガレッチ・ブゼッティ
$0 Vol.
24%
ペドロ・タケス
$0 Vol.
24%
ガルヴァン
$72 Vol.
23%
ネルソン・フェレイラ教授
$71 Vol.
22%
ジャナイナ・リヴァ
$0 Vol.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains tightly contested in trader pricing because a crowded field of more than 20 declared candidates has produced no clear frontrunner ahead of the October 2026 vote. An early-August Real Time Big Data survey showed the leading names clustered between 21% and 27% in vote intention, with Margareth Buzetti, Mauro Mendes, Janaina Riva, and José Medeiros among those best positioned. Fragmentation across parties, including PP, União Brasil, MDB, PSD, and PL, combined with the state’s agricultural economy and shifting alliances, keeps any single contender below dominant levels. Late-campaign endorsements, additional polling, and turnout patterns in rural areas could widen gaps, while the two-seat structure adds complexity to first-place projections reflected in current market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$254終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains tightly contested in trader pricing because a crowded field of more than 20 declared candidates has produced no clear frontrunner ahead of the October 2026 vote. An early-August Real Time Big Data survey showed the leading names clustered between 21% and 27% in vote intention, with Margareth Buzetti, Mauro Mendes, Janaina Riva, and José Medeiros among those best positioned. Fragmentation across parties, including PP, União Brasil, MDB, PSD, and PL, combined with the state’s agricultural economy and shifting alliances, keeps any single contender below dominant levels. Late-campaign endorsements, additional polling, and turnout patterns in rural areas could widen gaps, while the two-seat structure adds complexity to first-place projections reflected in current market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$254終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains tightly contested in trader pricing because a crowded field of more than 20 declared candidates has produced no clear frontrunner ahead of the October 2026 vote. An early-August Real Time Big Data survey showed the leading names clustered between 21% and 27% in vote intention, with Margareth Buzetti, Mauro Mendes, Janaina Riva, and José Medeiros among those best positioned. Fragmentation across parties, including PP, União Brasil, MDB, PSD, and PL, combined with the state’s agricultural economy and shifting alliances, keeps any single contender below dominant levels. Late-campaign endorsements, additional polling, and turnout patterns in rural areas could widen gaps, while the two-seat structure adds complexity to first-place projections reflected in current market consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問