In the 2026 Brazilian presidential race, the first-round contest in Maranhão remains highly uncertain with no candidate establishing a clear edge in trader assessments. The state's large electorate in the Northeast, where the Workers' Party has historically drawn strong support, faces a crowded field including incumbent President Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others who registered ahead of the August 15 deadline. Recent national polling shows Lula ahead overall but with Flávio Bolsonaro closing gaps, while state-specific data remains limited and regional economic pressures plus turnout patterns among key voting blocs add volatility. The official campaign period, running through early October, and any late shifts in alliances or endorsements could quickly alter vote shares and create separation among contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Clariana Barao 50%
Edmilson Costa 50%
Escritor Augusto Cury 50%
Flavio Bolsonaro 50%

Clariana Barao
50%

Edmilson Costa
50%

Escritor Augusto Cury
50%

Flavio Bolsonaro
50%

Hertz Dias
50%

Lula
50%

Pablo Marçal
50%

Ronaldo Caiado
50%

Samara
50%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
50%

Renan Santos
49%

Zema
49%

Rui Costa Pimenta
47%
Clariana Barao 50%
Edmilson Costa 50%
Escritor Augusto Cury 50%
Flavio Bolsonaro 50%

Clariana Barao
50%

Edmilson Costa
50%

Escritor Augusto Cury
50%

Flavio Bolsonaro
50%

Hertz Dias
50%

Lula
50%

Pablo Marçal
50%

Ronaldo Caiado
50%

Samara
50%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
50%

Renan Santos
49%

Zema
49%

Rui Costa Pimenta
47%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the 2026 Brazilian presidential race, the first-round contest in Maranhão remains highly uncertain with no candidate establishing a clear edge in trader assessments. The state's large electorate in the Northeast, where the Workers' Party has historically drawn strong support, faces a crowded field including incumbent President Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others who registered ahead of the August 15 deadline. Recent national polling shows Lula ahead overall but with Flávio Bolsonaro closing gaps, while state-specific data remains limited and regional economic pressures plus turnout patterns among key voting blocs add volatility. The official campaign period, running through early October, and any late shifts in alliances or endorsements could quickly alter vote shares and create separation among contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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