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icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位

icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位

Clariana Barao 50%

Edmilson Costa 50%

Escritor Augusto Cury 50%

Flavio Bolsonaro 50%

Polymarket
新規

Clariana Barao 50%

Edmilson Costa 50%

Escritor Augusto Cury 50%

Flavio Bolsonaro 50%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$0 Vol.

47%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In the 2026 Brazilian presidential race, the first-round contest in Maranhão remains highly uncertain with no candidate establishing a clear edge in trader assessments. The state's large electorate in the Northeast, where the Workers' Party has historically drawn strong support, faces a crowded field including incumbent President Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others who registered ahead of the August 15 deadline. Recent national polling shows Lula ahead overall but with Flávio Bolsonaro closing gaps, while state-specific data remains limited and regional economic pressures plus turnout patterns among key voting blocs add volatility. The official campaign period, running through early October, and any late shifts in alliances or endorsements could quickly alter vote shares and create separation among contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In the 2026 Brazilian presidential race, the first-round contest in Maranhão remains highly uncertain with no candidate establishing a clear edge in trader assessments. The state's large electorate in the Northeast, where the Workers' Party has historically drawn strong support, faces a crowded field including incumbent President Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others who registered ahead of the August 15 deadline. Recent national polling shows Lula ahead overall but with Flávio Bolsonaro closing gaps, while state-specific data remains limited and regional economic pressures plus turnout patterns among key voting blocs add volatility. The official campaign period, running through early October, and any late shifts in alliances or endorsements could quickly alter vote shares and create separation among contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Clariana Barao」で50%、次いで「Edmilson Costa」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位」の現在のフロントランナーは「Clariana Barao」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Edmilson Costa」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド:マラニョンで1位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。