Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 97.2%
ルラ 1.7%
レナン・サントス <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
$12,028 Vol.
$12,028 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
97%
ルラ
2%
レナン・サントス
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
1%
ゼマ
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
エジミルソン・コスタ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 97.2%
ルラ 1.7%
レナン・サントス <1%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
$12,028 Vol.
$12,028 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$4,119 Vol.
97%
ルラ
$529 Vol.
2%
レナン・サントス
$521 Vol.
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$734 Vol.
1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$611 Vol.
1%
ゼマ
$696 Vol.
1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$705 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$656 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリー
$743 Vol.
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
$604 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$732 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$742 Vol.
<1%
エジミルソン・コスタ
$635 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
音量
$12,028終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$12,028終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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