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icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

レナン・サントス 58%

ロナウド・カイアード 35%

ロメウ・ゼマ 5.1%

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%

Polymarket

$540,685 Vol.

レナン・サントス 58%

ロナウド・カイアード 35%

ロメウ・ゼマ 5.1%

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%

Polymarket

$540,685 Vol.

icon for レナン・サントス

レナン・サントス

$180,339 Vol.

58%

icon for ロナウド・カイアード

ロナウド・カイアード

$51,263 Vol.

35%

icon for ロメウ・ゼマ

ロメウ・ゼマ

$22,310 Vol.

5%

icon for フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

$24,980 Vol.

4%

icon for ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ

ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ

$11,358 Vol.

1%

icon for エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

$45,557 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジェラウド・アルキミン

ジェラウド・アルキミン

$10,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for フェルナンド・ハダジ

フェルナンド・ハダジ

$21,310 Vol.

<1%

icon for タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジャイール・ボルソナーロ

ジャイール・ボルソナーロ

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for アルド・レベロ

アルド・レベロ

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for テレザ・クリスチナ

テレザ・クリスチナ

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for ミシェル・ボルソナロ

ミシェル・ボルソナロ

$12,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

$104,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for カミロ・サンタナ

カミロ・サンタナ

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for エドゥアルド・レイチ

エドゥアルド・レイチ

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for エルデル・バルバリョ

エルデル・バルバリョ

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent party conventions and polling have positioned him as the strongest non-Bolsonaro right-wing alternative to the two frontrunners, President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos, president of the Missão party and co-founder of the Free Brazil Movement, has gained support among younger voters through social-media outreach and explicit distancing from both the government and Bolsonarism, lifting him into the low single digits and ahead of more established governors in several surveys. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains the main challenger for the spot on the strength of his executive record and PSD backing, yet trails Santos in trader consensus. Romeu Zema and lower-polling names such as Flávio Bolsonaro himself sit well behind, reflecting limited recent momentum. With roughly seven weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout or right-wing consolidation could still alter the ordering among these contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$540,685
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent party conventions and polling have positioned him as the strongest non-Bolsonaro right-wing alternative to the two frontrunners, President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos, president of the Missão party and co-founder of the Free Brazil Movement, has gained support among younger voters through social-media outreach and explicit distancing from both the government and Bolsonarism, lifting him into the low single digits and ahead of more established governors in several surveys. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains the main challenger for the spot on the strength of his executive record and PSD backing, yet trails Santos in trader consensus. Romeu Zema and lower-polling names such as Flávio Bolsonaro himself sit well behind, reflecting limited recent momentum. With roughly seven weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout or right-wing consolidation could still alter the ordering among these contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$540,685
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「レナン・サントス」で58%、次いで「ロナウド・カイアード」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、58¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に58%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」は$540.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」の現在のフロントランナーは「レナン・サントス」で58%であり、市場がこの結果に58%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロナウド・カイアード」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。