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icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

icon for ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位

レナン・サントス 56%

ロナウド・カイアード 38%

ロメウ・ゼマ 4.1%

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%

Polymarket

$542,621 Vol.

レナン・サントス 56%

ロナウド・カイアード 38%

ロメウ・ゼマ 4.1%

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%

Polymarket

$542,621 Vol.

icon for レナン・サントス

レナン・サントス

$180,625 Vol.

56%

icon for ロナウド・カイアード

ロナウド・カイアード

$52,393 Vol.

38%

icon for ロメウ・ゼマ

ロメウ・ゼマ

$22,479 Vol.

4%

icon for フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ

$24,980 Vol.

4%

icon for ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ

ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ

$11,358 Vol.

1%

icon for エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ

$45,557 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジェラウド・アルキミン

ジェラウド・アルキミン

$10,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for フェルナンド・ハダジ

フェルナンド・ハダジ

$21,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジャイール・ボルソナーロ

ジャイール・ボルソナーロ

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for アルド・レベロ

アルド・レベロ

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for テレザ・クリスチナ

テレザ・クリスチナ

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for ミシェル・ボルソナロ

ミシェル・ボルソナロ

$12,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

ハチーニョ・ジュニオール

$104,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for カミロ・サンタナ

カミロ・サンタナ

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for エドゥアルド・レイチ

エドゥアルド・レイチ

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for エルデル・バルバリョ

エルデル・バルバリョ

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$542,621
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$542,621
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「レナン・サントス」で56%、次いで「ロナウド・カイアード」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」は$542.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」の現在のフロントランナーは「レナン・サントス」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロナウド・カイアード」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブラジル大統領選挙第1ラウンド: 3位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。