Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent party conventions and polling have positioned him as the strongest non-Bolsonaro right-wing alternative to the two frontrunners, President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos, president of the Missão party and co-founder of the Free Brazil Movement, has gained support among younger voters through social-media outreach and explicit distancing from both the government and Bolsonarism, lifting him into the low single digits and ahead of more established governors in several surveys. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains the main challenger for the spot on the strength of his executive record and PSD backing, yet trails Santos in trader consensus. Romeu Zema and lower-polling names such as Flávio Bolsonaro himself sit well behind, reflecting limited recent momentum. With roughly seven weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout or right-wing consolidation could still alter the ordering among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レナン・サントス 58%
ロナウド・カイアード 35%
ロメウ・ゼマ 5.1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%
$540,685 Vol.
$540,685 Vol.
レナン・サントス
58%
ロナウド・カイアード
35%
ロメウ・ゼマ
5%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
レナン・サントス 58%
ロナウド・カイアード 35%
ロメウ・ゼマ 5.1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%
$540,685 Vol.
$540,685 Vol.
レナン・サントス
58%
ロナウド・カイアード
35%
ロメウ・ゼマ
5%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent party conventions and polling have positioned him as the strongest non-Bolsonaro right-wing alternative to the two frontrunners, President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Santos, president of the Missão party and co-founder of the Free Brazil Movement, has gained support among younger voters through social-media outreach and explicit distancing from both the government and Bolsonarism, lifting him into the low single digits and ahead of more established governors in several surveys. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains the main challenger for the spot on the strength of his executive record and PSD backing, yet trails Santos in trader consensus. Romeu Zema and lower-polling names such as Flávio Bolsonaro himself sit well behind, reflecting limited recent momentum. With roughly seven weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout or right-wing consolidation could still alter the ordering among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問