Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レナン・サントス 56%
ロナウド・カイアード 38%
ロメウ・ゼマ 4.1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%
$542,621 Vol.
$542,621 Vol.
2026/10/04
レナン・サントス
56%
ロナウド・カイアード
38%
ロメウ・ゼマ
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
レナン・サントス 56%
ロナウド・カイアード 38%
ロメウ・ゼマ 4.1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 3.8%
$542,621 Vol.
$542,621 Vol.
2026/10/04
レナン・サントス
$180,625 Vol.
56%
ロナウド・カイアード
$52,393 Vol.
38%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$22,479 Vol.
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$24,980 Vol.
4%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$11,358 Vol.
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$45,557 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$10,191 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$21,660 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$8,747 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$7,754 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$12,815 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$104,175 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$542,621終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$542,621終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from August 2026 shows President Lula leading first-round intentions at 38–42 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado compete for third. Santos, the Mission Party nominee and anti-establishment figure, has climbed into low single digits through strong social-media reach and appeal among younger voters seeking a right-wing alternative outside the Bolsonaro orbit. Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, maintains a similar polling band but has not matched that momentum despite his July convention and focus on conservative strongholds. Romeu Zema and lower-profile right-wing names trail further behind in surveys, reflecting limited national traction this close to the October 4 first round. Trader consensus on third place tracks these vote-intention trends and the right’s vote split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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