Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロメウ・ゼマ 32%
レナン・サントス 31%
ロナウド・カイアード 19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 4.6%
$280,350 Vol.
$280,350 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロメウ・ゼマ
32%
レナン・サントス
31%
ロナウド・カイアード
19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
5%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
3%
エルデル・バルバリョ
2%
カミロ・サンタナ
2%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・レベロ
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ロメウ・ゼマ 32%
レナン・サントス 31%
ロナウド・カイアード 19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ 4.6%
$280,350 Vol.
$280,350 Vol.
2026/10/04
ロメウ・ゼマ
$10,655 Vol.
32%
レナン・サントス
$61,980 Vol.
31%
ロナウド・カイアード
$16,728 Vol.
19%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$4,817 Vol.
5%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$14,354 Vol.
4%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$7,036 Vol.
3%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$132 Vol.
2%
カミロ・サンタナ
$6,116 Vol.
2%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$5,286 Vol.
1%
テレザ・クリスチナ
$654 Vol.
1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$4,328 Vol.
1%
ジャイール・ボルソナーロ
$4,092 Vol.
1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$4,260 Vol.
1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$2,559 Vol.
1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$39,622 Vol.
<1%
アルド・レベロ
$4,536 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$93,195 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
音量
$280,350終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$280,350終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Romeu Zema and Renan Santos lead the market for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent national polls show the top two spots occupied by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, leaving a fragmented field of center-right and libertarian alternatives competing for the remaining vote share. Zema, the Nova party governor of Minas Gerais, and Santos, leader of the Missão party, each poll in the low-to-mid single digits but ahead of Ronaldo Caiado and other declared candidates in first-round simulations from Quaest and Ideia. The right’s division, amplified by Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility and recent legal scrutiny around Flávio, has kept third-place probabilities tightly contested. Any consolidation behind one of these contenders or shifts in turnout among anti-incumbent voters could widen the gap before October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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