Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of around 49% against fragmented opposition. Recent surveys from mid-September place João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 8%, with all others below 3%, reflecting Mello’s broad support among business, agricultural, and conservative voters plus his record on infrastructure and health initiatives. Campaign activities in September, including meetings with industry and community leaders, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 97% implies limited room for late reversals from scandals, turnout shifts, or opponent consolidation, though a first-round majority remains the key threshold for immediate resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョルジーニョ・メロ 97.2%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ 1.8%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス <1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ <1%
$122,869 Vol.
$122,869 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジョルジーニョ・メロ
97%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ
2%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス
1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ
<1%
ジェルソン・メリジオ
<1%
デシオ・リマ
<1%
マルコス・ヴィエイラ
<1%
アドリアーノ・シルバ
<1%
ジョルジーニョ・メロ 97.2%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ 1.8%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス <1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ <1%
$122,869 Vol.
$122,869 Vol.
2026/10/04
ジョルジーニョ・メロ
$30,908 Vol.
97%
マルセロ・ブリガデイロ
$16,041 Vol.
2%
ジョアン・ロドリゲス
$3,040 Vol.
1%
アフラニオ・ボプレ
$2,415 Vol.
<1%
ジェルソン・メリジオ
$2,255 Vol.
<1%
デシオ・リマ
$64,175 Vol.
<1%
マルコス・ヴィエイラ
$2,128 Vol.
<1%
アドリアーノ・シルバ
$1,908 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of around 49% against fragmented opposition. Recent surveys from mid-September place João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 8%, with all others below 3%, reflecting Mello’s broad support among business, agricultural, and conservative voters plus his record on infrastructure and health initiatives. Campaign activities in September, including meetings with industry and community leaders, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 97% implies limited room for late reversals from scandals, turnout shifts, or opponent consolidation, though a first-round majority remains the key threshold for immediate resolution.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
音量
$122,869終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of around 49% against fragmented opposition. Recent surveys from mid-September place João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 8%, with all others below 3%, reflecting Mello’s broad support among business, agricultural, and conservative voters plus his record on infrastructure and health initiatives. Campaign activities in September, including meetings with industry and community leaders, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 97% implies limited room for late reversals from scandals, turnout shifts, or opponent consolidation, though a first-round majority remains the key threshold for immediate resolution.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$122,869終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of around 49% against fragmented opposition. Recent surveys from mid-September place João Rodrigues (PSD) at 15% and Gelson Merísio (PSB) at 8%, with all others below 3%, reflecting Mello’s broad support among business, agricultural, and conservative voters plus his record on infrastructure and health initiatives. Campaign activities in September, including meetings with industry and community leaders, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 97% implies limited room for late reversals from scandals, turnout shifts, or opponent consolidation, though a first-round majority remains the key threshold for immediate resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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