Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 69.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting consistent first-round polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Quaest, Ipsos/Ipec, and others show Ciro ahead by 8–13 points in stimulated scenarios, driven by his return to state politics after two decades and consolidation of opposition support. The August 9 televised debate highlighted contrasts on public security and health, with both candidates emphasizing records and proposals. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão remain below 1% in most polls and market odds. The race centers on first-round performance and potential runoff dynamics, with polls indicating a competitive but Ciro-favored contest heading into the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
カミロ・サンタナ <1%
$125,363 Vol.
$125,363 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Eduardo Girão
1%
カミロ・サンタナ
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
カミロ・サンタナ <1%
$125,363 Vol.
$125,363 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$72,703 Vol.
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$22,333 Vol.
30%
Eduardo Girão
$8,756 Vol.
1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$6,382 Vol.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,173 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$7,016 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 69.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting consistent first-round polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Quaest, Ipsos/Ipec, and others show Ciro ahead by 8–13 points in stimulated scenarios, driven by his return to state politics after two decades and consolidation of opposition support. The August 9 televised debate highlighted contrasts on public security and health, with both candidates emphasizing records and proposals. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão remain below 1% in most polls and market odds. The race centers on first-round performance and potential runoff dynamics, with polls indicating a competitive but Ciro-favored contest heading into the final stretch.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$125,363終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 69.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting consistent first-round polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Quaest, Ipsos/Ipec, and others show Ciro ahead by 8–13 points in stimulated scenarios, driven by his return to state politics after two decades and consolidation of opposition support. The August 9 televised debate highlighted contrasts on public security and health, with both candidates emphasizing records and proposals. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão remain below 1% in most polls and market odds. The race centers on first-round performance and potential runoff dynamics, with polls indicating a competitive but Ciro-favored contest heading into the final stretch.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$125,363終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads trader pricing at 69.5% for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, reflecting consistent first-round polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Quaest, Ipsos/Ipec, and others show Ciro ahead by 8–13 points in stimulated scenarios, driven by his return to state politics after two decades and consolidation of opposition support. The August 9 televised debate highlighted contrasts on public security and health, with both candidates emphasizing records and proposals. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão remain below 1% in most polls and market odds. The race centers on first-round performance and potential runoff dynamics, with polls indicating a competitive but Ciro-favored contest heading into the final stretch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問