Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 2.6%
Eduardo Girão 1.4%
$93,010 Vol.
$93,010 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
60%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
3%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 2.6%
Eduardo Girão 1.4%
$93,010 Vol.
$93,010 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$54,842 Vol.
60%
Elmano de Freitas
$14,549 Vol.
28%
Camilo Santana
$5,123 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Girão
$6,782 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$5,273 Vol.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,440 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$93,010終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$93,010終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from AtlasIntel/Focus and Datafolha has positioned former governor Ciro Gomes ahead of or nearly tied with incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round and runoff scenarios for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on Ciro's stronger positioning. Ciro's May 2026 decision to forgo a presidential bid and focus on the state race, combined with alliances including the PSDB to challenge the PT incumbent, has reinforced his frontrunner status amid regional economic and political dynamics. Elmano benefits from incumbency and PT organizational strength in the Northeast but trails in recent surveys. Lower-probability candidates like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão show minimal movement, consistent with limited polling traction this far from the first round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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