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選挙·ブラジル

パライバ州知事選挙の勝者

icon for パライバ州知事選挙の勝者
選挙·ブラジル

パライバ州知事選挙の勝者

シセロ・ルセナ 41%

ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ 20.5%

エフライム・フィリョ 7%

ニルヴァン・フェレイラ 4.3%

Polymarket
新規

シセロ・ルセナ 41%

ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ 20.5%

エフライム・フィリョ 7%

ニルヴァン・フェレイラ 4.3%

Polymarket
新規

シセロ・ルセナ

$2,374 Vol.

41%

ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ

$145 Vol.

20%

エフライム・フィリョ

$81 Vol.

7%

ニルヴァン・フェレイラ

$81 Vol.

4%

マルセロ・ケイロガ

$101 Vol.

4%

ロメロ・ロドリゲス

$210 Vol.

3%

フラヴィオ・ルシオ

$168 Vol.

2%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraíba shows a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in technical ties around 28-30% in first-round scenarios and Efraim Filho (PL) trailing in the high teens. Party negotiations within the MDB, including commitments from some mayors to Lucena alongside competing local alliances, and positioning by figures such as senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, have kept multiple paths open without consolidation behind any single contender. This uncertainty, combined with undecided voters exceeding 20% in recent surveys, sustains trader consensus around even odds among leading options while leaving room for shifts from further alliance announcements or subsequent surveys before the vote.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$3,160
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraíba shows a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in technical ties around 28-30% in first-round scenarios and Efraim Filho (PL) trailing in the high teens. Party negotiations within the MDB, including commitments from some mayors to Lucena alongside competing local alliances, and positioning by figures such as senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, have kept multiple paths open without consolidation behind any single contender. This uncertainty, combined with undecided voters exceeding 20% in recent surveys, sustains trader consensus around even odds among leading options while leaving room for shifts from further alliance announcements or subsequent surveys before the vote.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$3,160
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「パライバ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シセロ・ルセナ」で41%、次いで「ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「パライバ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「パライバ州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「パライバ州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「シセロ・ルセナ」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴェネツィアーノ・ヴィタル・ド・レーゴ」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「パライバ州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。