United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in prior cycles and structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies. The party currently holds 27 of 50 seats and benefits from broad administrative resources, established candidate networks, and alignment with federal priorities during the unified voting period that coincides with national Duma contests. Other registered parties, including the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, trail significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with historical seat distributions in the region. Trader consensus on this outcome accounts for the limited scope for opposition gains absent major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualifications or sharp turnout shifts before voting concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 96.8%
New People <1%
A Just Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
$13,590 Vol.
$13,590 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
97%
New People
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 96.8%
New People <1%
A Just Russia <1%
CPRF <1%
$13,590 Vol.
$13,590 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$9,660 Vol.
97%
New People
$733 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$856 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$889 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$728 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$723 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in prior cycles and structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies. The party currently holds 27 of 50 seats and benefits from broad administrative resources, established candidate networks, and alignment with federal priorities during the unified voting period that coincides with national Duma contests. Other registered parties, including the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, trail significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with historical seat distributions in the region. Trader consensus on this outcome accounts for the limited scope for opposition gains absent major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualifications or sharp turnout shifts before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
音量
$13,590終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in prior cycles and structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies. The party currently holds 27 of 50 seats and benefits from broad administrative resources, established candidate networks, and alignment with federal priorities during the unified voting period that coincides with national Duma contests. Other registered parties, including the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, trail significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with historical seat distributions in the region. Trader consensus on this outcome accounts for the limited scope for opposition gains absent major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualifications or sharp turnout shifts before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$13,590終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its consistent performance in prior cycles and structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member constituencies. The party currently holds 27 of 50 seats and benefits from broad administrative resources, established candidate networks, and alignment with federal priorities during the unified voting period that coincides with national Duma contests. Other registered parties, including the CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, trail significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with historical seat distributions in the region. Trader consensus on this outcome accounts for the limited scope for opposition gains absent major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualifications or sharp turnout shifts before voting concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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