Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six to seven points among likely voters, a shift that has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 Maine Senate race. Governor Janet Mills’s withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind the veteran and oyster farmer Platner, who has maintained consistent leads in surveys from Emerson College and the Maine People’s Resource Center. Collins, the last Republican senator from New England, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, though her long record of bipartisan votes continues to anchor Republican support. With primaries scheduled for June 9, the current implied probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of these polling trends and the absence of major countervailing developments since Mills exited the contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$241,935 Vol.
$241,935 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
78%
共和党
24%
$241,935 Vol.
$241,935 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$145,510 Vol.
78%
共和党
$96,425 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six to seven points among likely voters, a shift that has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 Maine Senate race. Governor Janet Mills’s withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind the veteran and oyster farmer Platner, who has maintained consistent leads in surveys from Emerson College and the Maine People’s Resource Center. Collins, the last Republican senator from New England, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, though her long record of bipartisan votes continues to anchor Republican support. With primaries scheduled for June 9, the current implied probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of these polling trends and the absence of major countervailing developments since Mills exited the contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$241,935終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six to seven points among likely voters, a shift that has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 Maine Senate race. Governor Janet Mills’s withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind the veteran and oyster farmer Platner, who has maintained consistent leads in surveys from Emerson College and the Maine People’s Resource Center. Collins, the last Republican senator from New England, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, though her long record of bipartisan votes continues to anchor Republican support. With primaries scheduled for June 9, the current implied probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of these polling trends and the absence of major countervailing developments since Mills exited the contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$241,935終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins by roughly six to seven points among likely voters, a shift that has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 Maine Senate race. Governor Janet Mills’s withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April consolidated support behind the veteran and oyster farmer Platner, who has maintained consistent leads in surveys from Emerson College and the Maine People’s Resource Center. Collins, the last Republican senator from New England, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, though her long record of bipartisan votes continues to anchor Republican support. With primaries scheduled for June 9, the current implied probabilities reflect traders’ assessment of these polling trends and the absence of major countervailing developments since Mills exited the contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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