Both Ohio races remain closely contested toss-ups heading into November, with trader pricing reflecting independent voter assessments of the Senate matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown alongside the gubernatorial contest featuring Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton. Recent polling shows margins within a few points in each contest, consistent with Ohio’s partisan lean offset by the challengers’ statewide name recognition and fundraising. This dynamic supports elevated probabilities for split results or other non-sweep outcomes, as individual race fundamentals and turnout patterns can diverge. Scheduled debates, additional surveys, and any national economic or approval shifts through the fall represent the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities across the listed combinations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Dems sweep 38%
Reps sweep 36%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 17%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Dems sweep
38%
Reps sweep
36%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
17%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
16%
Dems sweep 38%
Reps sweep 36%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 17%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Dems sweep
$200 Vol.
38%
Reps sweep
$189 Vol.
36%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$303 Vol.
17%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$161 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Ohio that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Both Ohio races remain closely contested toss-ups heading into November, with trader pricing reflecting independent voter assessments of the Senate matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown alongside the gubernatorial contest featuring Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton. Recent polling shows margins within a few points in each contest, consistent with Ohio’s partisan lean offset by the challengers’ statewide name recognition and fundraising. This dynamic supports elevated probabilities for split results or other non-sweep outcomes, as individual race fundamentals and turnout patterns can diverge. Scheduled debates, additional surveys, and any national economic or approval shifts through the fall represent the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities across the listed combinations.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Ohio that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
音量
$853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Ohio that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Both Ohio races remain closely contested toss-ups heading into November, with trader pricing reflecting independent voter assessments of the Senate matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown alongside the gubernatorial contest featuring Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton. Recent polling shows margins within a few points in each contest, consistent with Ohio’s partisan lean offset by the challengers’ statewide name recognition and fundraising. This dynamic supports elevated probabilities for split results or other non-sweep outcomes, as individual race fundamentals and turnout patterns can diverge. Scheduled debates, additional surveys, and any national economic or approval shifts through the fall represent the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities across the listed combinations.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Ohio that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Both Ohio races remain closely contested toss-ups heading into November, with trader pricing reflecting independent voter assessments of the Senate matchup between appointed Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown alongside the gubernatorial contest featuring Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton. Recent polling shows margins within a few points in each contest, consistent with Ohio’s partisan lean offset by the challengers’ statewide name recognition and fundraising. This dynamic supports elevated probabilities for split results or other non-sweep outcomes, as individual race fundamentals and turnout patterns can diverge. Scheduled debates, additional surveys, and any national economic or approval shifts through the fall represent the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities across the listed combinations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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