**Democratic nominee Chris Pappas holds a strong position in the open New Hampshire Senate race following Jeanne Shaheen’s 2025 retirement announcement, which created the first vacancy in the state’s federal delegation in years.** Pappas, the U.S. Representative for the 1st District since 2019, has consolidated support in the Democratic primary and leads general-election matchups against leading Republicans in most recent University of New Hampshire and other polling from spring 2026. On the Republican side, former Senator John E. Sununu leads the primary field and carries the Trump endorsement plus family name recognition tied to his brother, former Governor Chris Sununu. However, Sununu trails Pappas in head-to-head surveys, and earlier matchups against Scott Brown showed even wider Democratic advantages. New Hampshire’s recent pattern of supporting Democrats in Senate and House contests, combined with Pappas’s fundraising and incumbency profile, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. No major late developments have shifted the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,338 Vol.
$31,338 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
85%
Republican
15%
$31,338 Vol.
$31,338 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democrat
$21,134 Vol.
85%
Republican
$10,204 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic nominee Chris Pappas holds a strong position in the open New Hampshire Senate race following Jeanne Shaheen’s 2025 retirement announcement, which created the first vacancy in the state’s federal delegation in years.** Pappas, the U.S. Representative for the 1st District since 2019, has consolidated support in the Democratic primary and leads general-election matchups against leading Republicans in most recent University of New Hampshire and other polling from spring 2026.
On the Republican side, former Senator John E. Sununu leads the primary field and carries the Trump endorsement plus family name recognition tied to his brother, former Governor Chris Sununu. However, Sununu trails Pappas in head-to-head surveys, and earlier matchups against Scott Brown showed even wider Democratic advantages.
New Hampshire’s recent pattern of supporting Democrats in Senate and House contests, combined with Pappas’s fundraising and incumbency profile, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. No major late developments have shifted the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$31,338終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic nominee Chris Pappas holds a strong position in the open New Hampshire Senate race following Jeanne Shaheen’s 2025 retirement announcement, which created the first vacancy in the state’s federal delegation in years.** Pappas, the U.S. Representative for the 1st District since 2019, has consolidated support in the Democratic primary and leads general-election matchups against leading Republicans in most recent University of New Hampshire and other polling from spring 2026.
On the Republican side, former Senator John E. Sununu leads the primary field and carries the Trump endorsement plus family name recognition tied to his brother, former Governor Chris Sununu. However, Sununu trails Pappas in head-to-head surveys, and earlier matchups against Scott Brown showed even wider Democratic advantages.
New Hampshire’s recent pattern of supporting Democrats in Senate and House contests, combined with Pappas’s fundraising and incumbency profile, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. No major late developments have shifted the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$31,338終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Chris Pappas holds a strong position in the open New Hampshire Senate race following Jeanne Shaheen’s 2025 retirement announcement, which created the first vacancy in the state’s federal delegation in years.** Pappas, the U.S. Representative for the 1st District since 2019, has consolidated support in the Democratic primary and leads general-election matchups against leading Republicans in most recent University of New Hampshire and other polling from spring 2026. On the Republican side, former Senator John E. Sununu leads the primary field and carries the Trump endorsement plus family name recognition tied to his brother, former Governor Chris Sununu. However, Sununu trails Pappas in head-to-head surveys, and earlier matchups against Scott Brown showed even wider Democratic advantages. New Hampshire’s recent pattern of supporting Democrats in Senate and House contests, combined with Pappas’s fundraising and incumbency profile, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. No major late developments have shifted the race’s fundamentals in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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