Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton on September 1, yet general-election polling shows any Democratic nominee defeating Republican John Deaton by double-digit margins. Traders assign a 97.9% probability to a Democratic winner because structural advantages and turnout patterns leave little room for an upset. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented collapse in Democratic support or a late-breaking development that shifts voter behavior before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
98%
共和党
2%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$18,799 Vol.
98%
共和党
$5,426 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton on September 1, yet general-election polling shows any Democratic nominee defeating Republican John Deaton by double-digit margins. Traders assign a 97.9% probability to a Democratic winner because structural advantages and turnout patterns leave little room for an upset. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented collapse in Democratic support or a late-breaking development that shifts voter behavior before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$24,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton on September 1, yet general-election polling shows any Democratic nominee defeating Republican John Deaton by double-digit margins. Traders assign a 97.9% probability to a Democratic winner because structural advantages and turnout patterns leave little room for an upset. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented collapse in Democratic support or a late-breaking development that shifts voter behavior before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$24,225終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton on September 1, yet general-election polling shows any Democratic nominee defeating Republican John Deaton by double-digit margins. Traders assign a 97.9% probability to a Democratic winner because structural advantages and turnout patterns leave little room for an upset. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented collapse in Democratic support or a late-breaking development that shifts voter behavior before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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