James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
93%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
$100 Vol.
93%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
$75 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
音量
$175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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