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icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
政治·下院

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
政治·下院

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 7.7%

Jim Jordan 6.4%

Polymarket
新規

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 7.7%

Jim Jordan 6.4%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,041 Vol.

78%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$96 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

2%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$113 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

3%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$124 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms drive Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% odds, reflecting polling averages and fundraising edges in competitive battlegrounds and redistricting environments. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority under Speaker Mike Johnson, yet face retirements, primary pressures, and vulnerability in swing districts that limit their retention chances. On the GOP side, Johnson holds a modest lead over Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise, though combined alternatives stay low amid party divisions. Recent Democratic primary results and leadership positioning have reinforced trader consensus on a likely majority shift, with Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trailing as potential Democratic alternatives should internal dynamics change before January 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,534
終了日
2027/01/03
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms drive Hakeem Jeffries to 77.5% odds, reflecting polling averages and fundraising edges in competitive battlegrounds and redistricting environments. Republicans currently hold a narrow majority under Speaker Mike Johnson, yet face retirements, primary pressures, and vulnerability in swing districts that limit their retention chances. On the GOP side, Johnson holds a modest lead over Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise, though combined alternatives stay low amid party divisions. Recent Democratic primary results and leadership positioning have reinforced trader consensus on a likely majority shift, with Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar trailing as potential Democratic alternatives should internal dynamics change before January 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,534
終了日
2027/01/03
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Speaker of the House after the midterms?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Hakeem Jeffries」で78%、次いで「Katherine Clark」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Speaker of the House after the midterms?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 8, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Speaker of the House after the midterms?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Speaker of the House after the midterms?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Hakeem Jeffries」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Katherine Clark」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Speaker of the House after the midterms?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。