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icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
政治·下院

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
政治·下院

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 87%

Matt Ortega 12.7%

Wendy Huang 12.1%

Rakhi Israni Singh 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

Aisha Wahab 87%

Matt Ortega 12.7%

Wendy Huang 12.1%

Rakhi Israni Singh 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

Aisha Wahab

$422 Vol.

75%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Vol.

3%

Wendy Huang

$165 Vol.

12%

Carin Elam

$210 Vol.

3%

Matt Ortega

$183 Vol.

13%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Vol.

5%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Vol.

5%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Trader consensus assigns State Sen. Aisha Wahab an 88% implied probability of victory in the CA-14 special general election on August 18, reflecting her frontrunner position in the Democratic-leaning Bay Area district vacated by Rep. Eric Swalwell's recent resignation. Democratic leaders' efforts to clear the nonpartisan primary field on June 16, coupled with recent endorsements from the East Bay Times (May 7) and Indivisible East Bay (April 15), have boosted her momentum over challengers like attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who led early fundraising but lacks comparable party consolidation. Other candidates trail due to lower name recognition and resources in this safe Democratic seat, though a primary upset remains possible before resolution.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
音量
$1,652
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Trader consensus assigns State Sen. Aisha Wahab an 88% implied probability of victory in the CA-14 special general election on August 18, reflecting her frontrunner position in the Democratic-leaning Bay Area district vacated by Rep. Eric Swalwell's recent resignation. Democratic leaders' efforts to clear the nonpartisan primary field on June 16, coupled with recent endorsements from the East Bay Times (May 7) and Indivisible East Bay (April 15), have boosted her momentum over challengers like attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who led early fundraising but lacks comparable party consolidation. Other candidates trail due to lower name recognition and resources in this safe Democratic seat, though a primary upset remains possible before resolution.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
音量
$1,652
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Aisha Wahab」で75%、次いで「Matt Ortega」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 16, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Aisha Wahab」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Matt Ortega」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-14 Special Election Winner?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。