**Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election remains highly competitive among Democratic contenders ahead of the July 28, 2026, vote, with a potential August 25 runoff if no candidate secures a majority.** The district's strong Democratic lean—reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican candidate Caesar Gonzales near single digits—keeps attention on the crowded Democratic field, where Marcye Scott, Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, Everton Blair, and others trade in a narrow band. The late Rep. David Scott's April 2026 passing triggered the contest, drawing multiple established local figures including his daughter and candidates with prior primary experience or institutional ties. Limited time since the May 13 filing deadline and the absence of a consolidated frontrunner have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively in the multi-candidate general election format. Traders appear to price in the possibility that vote splitting among Democrats could force a runoff or elevate different names based on turnout and last-minute endorsements. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any organized party efforts to unify support represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トニー・ブラウン 78%
マルシー・スコット 46%
カルロス・ムーア 43%
エバートン・ブレア 30%

トニー・ブラウン
78%

マルシー・スコット
46%

カルロス・ムーア
43%

エバートン・ブレア
30%

シーザー・ゴンザレス
9%

フェイス・パーク
9%
トニー・ブラウン 78%
マルシー・スコット 46%
カルロス・ムーア 43%
エバートン・ブレア 30%

トニー・ブラウン
78%

マルシー・スコット
46%

カルロス・ムーア
43%

エバートン・ブレア
30%

シーザー・ゴンザレス
9%

フェイス・パーク
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election remains highly competitive among Democratic contenders ahead of the July 28, 2026, vote, with a potential August 25 runoff if no candidate secures a majority.** The district's strong Democratic lean—reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican candidate Caesar Gonzales near single digits—keeps attention on the crowded Democratic field, where Marcye Scott, Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, Everton Blair, and others trade in a narrow band. The late Rep. David Scott's April 2026 passing triggered the contest, drawing multiple established local figures including his daughter and candidates with prior primary experience or institutional ties. Limited time since the May 13 filing deadline and the absence of a consolidated frontrunner have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively in the multi-candidate general election format. Traders appear to price in the possibility that vote splitting among Democrats could force a runoff or elevate different names based on turnout and last-minute endorsements. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any organized party efforts to unify support represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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