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icon for GA -13特別選挙の勝者

GA -13特別選挙の勝者

icon for GA -13特別選挙の勝者

GA -13特別選挙の勝者

トニー・ブラウン 78%

マルシー・スコット 46%

カルロス・ムーア 43%

エバートン・ブレア 30%

Polymarket
新規

トニー・ブラウン 78%

マルシー・スコット 46%

カルロス・ムーア 43%

エバートン・ブレア 30%

Polymarket
新規
icon for トニー・ブラウン

トニー・ブラウン

$75 Vol.

78%

icon for マルシー・スコット

マルシー・スコット

$75 Vol.

46%

icon for カルロス・ムーア

カルロス・ムーア

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for エバートン・ブレア

エバートン・ブレア

$80 Vol.

30%

icon for シーザー・ゴンザレス

シーザー・ゴンザレス

$151 Vol.

9%

icon for フェイス・パーク

フェイス・パーク

$164 Vol.

9%

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. **Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election remains highly competitive among Democratic contenders ahead of the July 28, 2026, vote, with a potential August 25 runoff if no candidate secures a majority.** The district's strong Democratic lean—reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican candidate Caesar Gonzales near single digits—keeps attention on the crowded Democratic field, where Marcye Scott, Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, Everton Blair, and others trade in a narrow band. The late Rep. David Scott's April 2026 passing triggered the contest, drawing multiple established local figures including his daughter and candidates with prior primary experience or institutional ties. Limited time since the May 13 filing deadline and the absence of a consolidated frontrunner have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively in the multi-candidate general election format. Traders appear to price in the possibility that vote splitting among Democrats could force a runoff or elevate different names based on turnout and last-minute endorsements. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any organized party efforts to unify support represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before election day.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
音量
$545
終了日
2026/07/29
マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. **Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election remains highly competitive among Democratic contenders ahead of the July 28, 2026, vote, with a potential August 25 runoff if no candidate secures a majority.** The district's strong Democratic lean—reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican candidate Caesar Gonzales near single digits—keeps attention on the crowded Democratic field, where Marcye Scott, Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, Everton Blair, and others trade in a narrow band. The late Rep. David Scott's April 2026 passing triggered the contest, drawing multiple established local figures including his daughter and candidates with prior primary experience or institutional ties. Limited time since the May 13 filing deadline and the absence of a consolidated frontrunner have prevented any single candidate from pulling ahead decisively in the multi-candidate general election format. Traders appear to price in the possibility that vote splitting among Democrats could force a runoff or elevate different names based on turnout and last-minute endorsements. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any organized party efforts to unify support represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before election day.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
音量
$545
終了日
2026/07/29
マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.

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よくある質問

「GA -13特別選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マルシー・スコット」で46%、次いで「カルロス・ムーア」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「GA -13特別選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 5, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「GA -13特別選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「GA -13特別選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マルシー・スコット」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「カルロス・ムーア」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GA -13特別選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。