Multiple Republican-held seats feature strong Democratic challengers and recent polling showing single-digit margins, keeping Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), and Alaska atop trader rankings for the tightest 2026 contest. Recent August primaries clarified nominee fields in several states, while polls in Texas and Iowa reflect narrow leads amid shifting national generic ballot trends. Incumbency advantages, state partisan baselines, and uncertain turnout patterns sustain the close positioning across these battlegrounds. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases, candidate debates, or shifts in the broader midterm environment could widen gaps before November voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Texas 23%
Iowa 17.1%
Maine 15%
Ohio (Special) 12.0%
$27,561 Vol.
$27,561 Vol.
2026/11/03
Texas
23%
Iowa
17%
Maine
15%
Ohio (Special)
12%
Alaska
12%
Michigan
7%
Nebraska
5%
Virginia
4%
Florida (Special)
3%
New Mexico
3%
North Carolina
2%
New Hampshire
2%
Georgia
1%
Colorado
1%
Montana
1%
Minnesota
1%
Texas 23%
Iowa 17.1%
Maine 15%
Ohio (Special) 12.0%
$27,561 Vol.
$27,561 Vol.
2026/11/03
Texas
$772 Vol.
23%
Iowa
$2,622 Vol.
17%
Maine
$1,285 Vol.
15%
Ohio (Special)
$5,040 Vol.
12%
Alaska
$5,108 Vol.
12%
Michigan
$2,346 Vol.
7%
Nebraska
$275 Vol.
5%
Virginia
$5,073 Vol.
4%
Florida (Special)
$253 Vol.
3%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
3%
North Carolina
$621 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$485 Vol.
2%
Georgia
$752 Vol.
1%
Colorado
$662 Vol.
1%
Montana
$616 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$1,489 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats feature strong Democratic challengers and recent polling showing single-digit margins, keeping Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), and Alaska atop trader rankings for the tightest 2026 contest. Recent August primaries clarified nominee fields in several states, while polls in Texas and Iowa reflect narrow leads amid shifting national generic ballot trends. Incumbency advantages, state partisan baselines, and uncertain turnout patterns sustain the close positioning across these battlegrounds. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases, candidate debates, or shifts in the broader midterm environment could widen gaps before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
音量
$27,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats feature strong Democratic challengers and recent polling showing single-digit margins, keeping Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), and Alaska atop trader rankings for the tightest 2026 contest. Recent August primaries clarified nominee fields in several states, while polls in Texas and Iowa reflect narrow leads amid shifting national generic ballot trends. Incumbency advantages, state partisan baselines, and uncertain turnout patterns sustain the close positioning across these battlegrounds. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases, candidate debates, or shifts in the broader midterm environment could widen gaps before November voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Republican-held seats feature strong Democratic challengers and recent polling showing single-digit margins, keeping Texas, Iowa, Ohio (special), and Alaska atop trader rankings for the tightest 2026 contest. Recent August primaries clarified nominee fields in several states, while polls in Texas and Iowa reflect narrow leads amid shifting national generic ballot trends. Incumbency advantages, state partisan baselines, and uncertain turnout patterns sustain the close positioning across these battlegrounds. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases, candidate debates, or shifts in the broader midterm environment could widen gaps before November voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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