Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,509 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,282 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$30,791終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,791終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington’s 1st congressional district, a seat covering parts of the northern Seattle metro area with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed this advantage, as DelBene advanced comfortably ahead of Republican Mary Silva, who will face her in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including DelBene’s multiple prior re-elections and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance. Late-cycle national shifts in turnout or unforeseen candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問