Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall's strong 2024 victory by roughly 14 points over Republican Drew MacEwen in the open-seat race, combined with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the WA-06 House race. No major Republican challengers emerged during the May 4-8 candidate filing period, reinforcing her incumbency advantage amid high historical House re-election rates above 90%. The top-two primary on August 4 could advance a GOP contender, but absent a scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, structural factors favor a Democratic hold in this solidly blue district. Late-breaking legal or health developments remain potential disruptors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$1,098 Vol.
92%
共和党
$868 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall's strong 2024 victory by roughly 14 points over Republican Drew MacEwen in the open-seat race, combined with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the WA-06 House race. No major Republican challengers emerged during the May 4-8 candidate filing period, reinforcing her incumbency advantage amid high historical House re-election rates above 90%. The top-two primary on August 4 could advance a GOP contender, but absent a scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, structural factors favor a Democratic hold in this solidly blue district. Late-breaking legal or health developments remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$1,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall's strong 2024 victory by roughly 14 points over Republican Drew MacEwen in the open-seat race, combined with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the WA-06 House race. No major Republican challengers emerged during the May 4-8 candidate filing period, reinforcing her incumbency advantage amid high historical House re-election rates above 90%. The top-two primary on August 4 could advance a GOP contender, but absent a scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, structural factors favor a Democratic hold in this solidly blue district. Late-breaking legal or health developments remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall's strong 2024 victory by roughly 14 points over Republican Drew MacEwen in the open-seat race, combined with the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party in the WA-06 House race. No major Republican challengers emerged during the May 4-8 candidate filing period, reinforcing her incumbency advantage amid high historical House re-election rates above 90%. The top-two primary on August 4 could advance a GOP contender, but absent a scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, structural factors favor a Democratic hold in this solidly blue district. Late-breaking legal or health developments remain potential disruptors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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