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icon for RI -02共和党予備選

RI -02共和党予備選

icon for RI -02共和党予備選

RI -02共和党予備選

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規

スティーブン・スコリー

$0 Vol.

55%

ヴィクター・メラー

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9 with early voting already underway, pits Stephen Skoly against Victor Mellor in a low-turnout contest in a solidly Democratic district. Skoly secured the state GOP endorsement in June after Mellor declined to seek it, highlighting his long local residency and record as an oral surgeon who challenged state COVID-19 mandates. Mellor, a Marine veteran and businessman who recently returned from Florida and participated in the January 6 Capitol events, has leveraged substantial self-funding exceeding $600,000 compared with Skoly’s roughly $140,000. A mid-August poll showed both candidates with support in the low-to-mid 20s and nearly half undecided. The race remains closely matched because of limited voter familiarity, competing appeals between party backing and financial resources, and an upcoming September 4 debate that could shift momentum before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/09
マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9 with early voting already underway, pits Stephen Skoly against Victor Mellor in a low-turnout contest in a solidly Democratic district. Skoly secured the state GOP endorsement in June after Mellor declined to seek it, highlighting his long local residency and record as an oral surgeon who challenged state COVID-19 mandates. Mellor, a Marine veteran and businessman who recently returned from Florida and participated in the January 6 Capitol events, has leveraged substantial self-funding exceeding $600,000 compared with Skoly’s roughly $140,000. A mid-August poll showed both candidates with support in the low-to-mid 20s and nearly half undecided. The race remains closely matched because of limited voter familiarity, competing appeals between party backing and financial resources, and an upcoming September 4 debate that could shift momentum before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/09
マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「RI -02共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スティーブン・スコリー」で55%、次いで「ヴィクター・メラー」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「RI -02共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「RI -02共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「RI -02共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「スティーブン・スコリー」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴィクター・メラー」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「RI -02共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。