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icon for NH -01共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

NH -01共和党予備選

icon for NH -01共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

NH -01共和党予備選

アンソニー・ディロレンツォ 44%

ホリー・ノヴェレツキー 37%

エリザベス・ジラード 10.1%

メリッサ・ベイリー 6%

Polymarket

$38,533 Vol.

アンソニー・ディロレンツォ 44%

ホリー・ノヴェレツキー 37%

エリザベス・ジラード 10.1%

メリッサ・ベイリー 6%

Polymarket

$38,533 Vol.

アンソニー・ディロレンツォ

$1,135 Vol.

47%

ホリー・ノヴェレツキー

$22,522 Vol.

37%

エリザベス・ジラード

$13,346 Vol.

18%

メリッサ・ベイリー

$843 Vol.

6%

ブライアン・コール

$686 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability in the open NH-01 Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—$1.3 million raised and $827,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the May 13 endorsement from Turning Point Action, which praised his outsider status to flip the competitive district. Hollie Noveletsky trails closely at 37%, leveraging her U.S. Army Reserve service, nursing background, and recent campaign ads attacking DiLorenzo on immigration amnesty and federal protections for women's sports, plus endorsements from Maggie's List and AGC PAC. Elizabeth Girard holds 17.6% despite a January campaign suspension and zero cash reserves, while Melissa Bailey (6%) and Brian Cole (1.1%) lag in funds and visibility ahead of the September 8 primary, with no public polls available.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$38,533
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability in the open NH-01 Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—$1.3 million raised and $827,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the May 13 endorsement from Turning Point Action, which praised his outsider status to flip the competitive district. Hollie Noveletsky trails closely at 37%, leveraging her U.S. Army Reserve service, nursing background, and recent campaign ads attacking DiLorenzo on immigration amnesty and federal protections for women's sports, plus endorsements from Maggie's List and AGC PAC. Elizabeth Girard holds 17.6% despite a January campaign suspension and zero cash reserves, while Melissa Bailey (6%) and Brian Cole (1.1%) lag in funds and visibility ahead of the September 8 primary, with no public polls available.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$38,533
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NH -01共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンソニー・ディロレンツォ」で47%、次いで「ホリー・ノヴェレツキー」が37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NH -01共和党予備選」は$38.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NH -01共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NH -01共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンソニー・ディロレンツォ」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ホリー・ノヴェレツキー」で37%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NH -01共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。