New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat with a D+2 partisan voting index, where the party has held the House seat since 2018 and carried the 2024 presidential vote by a narrow margin. The open-seat dynamic after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to a Senate bid has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 8 contest, with candidates including Stefany Shaheen drawing notable local fundraising and support. Republicans face a more fragmented primary field and limited structural advantages in a district that has consistently favored Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's baseline electoral math and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the general-election outlook before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
86%
共和党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,733 Vol.
86%
共和党
$3,096 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat with a D+2 partisan voting index, where the party has held the House seat since 2018 and carried the 2024 presidential vote by a narrow margin. The open-seat dynamic after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to a Senate bid has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 8 contest, with candidates including Stefany Shaheen drawing notable local fundraising and support. Republicans face a more fragmented primary field and limited structural advantages in a district that has consistently favored Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's baseline electoral math and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the general-election outlook before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$8,830終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat with a D+2 partisan voting index, where the party has held the House seat since 2018 and carried the 2024 presidential vote by a narrow margin. The open-seat dynamic after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to a Senate bid has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 8 contest, with candidates including Stefany Shaheen drawing notable local fundraising and support. Republicans face a more fragmented primary field and limited structural advantages in a district that has consistently favored Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's baseline electoral math and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the general-election outlook before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,830終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat with a D+2 partisan voting index, where the party has held the House seat since 2018 and carried the 2024 presidential vote by a narrow margin. The open-seat dynamic after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to a Senate bid has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 8 contest, with candidates including Stefany Shaheen drawing notable local fundraising and support. Republicans face a more fragmented primary field and limited structural advantages in a district that has consistently favored Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's baseline electoral math and the absence of major late developments capable of altering the general-election outlook before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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