Rhode Island's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Gabe Amo secured reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a partisan voting index around D+12. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and primaries set for September, no competitive Republican challengers have emerged to date, consistent with the area's long-standing partisan lean and limited historical GOP success in House contests. Factors supporting the current pricing include Amo's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition alongside the absence of major scandals or primary threats. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment substantially altering local voter sentiment before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日RI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$5,988 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$2,114 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Gabe Amo secured reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a partisan voting index around D+12. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and primaries set for September, no competitive Republican challengers have emerged to date, consistent with the area's long-standing partisan lean and limited historical GOP success in House contests. Factors supporting the current pricing include Amo's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition alongside the absence of major scandals or primary threats. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment substantially altering local voter sentiment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$8,102終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Gabe Amo secured reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a partisan voting index around D+12. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and primaries set for September, no competitive Republican challengers have emerged to date, consistent with the area's long-standing partisan lean and limited historical GOP success in House contests. Factors supporting the current pricing include Amo's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition alongside the absence of major scandals or primary threats. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment substantially altering local voter sentiment before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,102終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Gabe Amo secured reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote in a district rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts and carrying a partisan voting index around D+12. With the filing deadline approaching in late June and primaries set for September, no competitive Republican challengers have emerged to date, consistent with the area's long-standing partisan lean and limited historical GOP success in House contests. Factors supporting the current pricing include Amo's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition alongside the absence of major scandals or primary threats. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment substantially altering local voter sentiment before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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