Recent national polling averages place the People’s Party first and the PSOE second, with Vox holding a clear third position at roughly 19 percent support ahead of the November 29 snap election. Seat projections reinforce this ordering, showing Vox on track for around 66 seats while smaller parties and regional groups trail further behind. The left’s ongoing fragmentation, including incomplete coordination between the Broad Front and Podemos, has limited any consolidation that might challenge Vox’s standing. These patterns have remained stable across multiple pollsters in recent weeks, shaping trader consensus around Vox as the most probable third-place finisher.