Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, reflecting her incumbency advantage since assuming office after Rumen Radev's January resignation and strong second-choice appeal among his Progressive Bulgaria supporters following their April 19 parliamentary landslide victory with a rare outright majority. Radev's ineligibility for a third term due to constitutional limits funnels sentiment toward Iotova, a former vice president aligned with Socialist traditions. Reformist challengers from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria, like former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov (12%) and Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev (8.1%), trail amid their coalition's weakened parliamentary showing, while GERB figures Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (4.1%) lag in a fragmented field. Recent government formation—President Iotova granting Radev a mandate last week—signals stability, though a two-round runoff looms if no first-round majority emerges by late October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日イリアナ・イオトヴァ 60%
ニコライ・デンコフ 12%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ 9.4%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ 5%
$100,528 Vol.
$100,528 Vol.
イリアナ・イオトヴァ
60%
ニコライ・デンコフ
12%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ
9%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ
5%
ボイコ・ボリソフ
4%
ブラゴミル・コツェフ
<1%
コスタディン・コスタディノフ
<1%
アタナス・アタナソフ
<1%
デリャン・ペエフスキー
<1%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ
<1%
クルム・ザルコフ
<1%
ヤナキ・ストイロフ
<1%
ナタリア・キセロヴァ
<1%
イリアナ・イオトヴァ 60%
ニコライ・デンコフ 12%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ 9.4%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ 5%
$100,528 Vol.
$100,528 Vol.
イリアナ・イオトヴァ
60%
ニコライ・デンコフ
12%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ
9%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ
5%
ボイコ・ボリソフ
4%
ブラゴミル・コツェフ
<1%
コスタディン・コスタディノフ
<1%
アタナス・アタナソフ
<1%
デリャン・ペエフスキー
<1%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ
<1%
クルム・ザルコフ
<1%
ヤナキ・ストイロフ
<1%
ナタリア・キセロヴァ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, reflecting her incumbency advantage since assuming office after Rumen Radev's January resignation and strong second-choice appeal among his Progressive Bulgaria supporters following their April 19 parliamentary landslide victory with a rare outright majority. Radev's ineligibility for a third term due to constitutional limits funnels sentiment toward Iotova, a former vice president aligned with Socialist traditions. Reformist challengers from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria, like former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov (12%) and Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev (8.1%), trail amid their coalition's weakened parliamentary showing, while GERB figures Rosen Zhelyazkov (4.5%) and Boyko Borissov (4.1%) lag in a fragmented field. Recent government formation—President Iotova granting Radev a mandate last week—signals stability, though a two-round runoff looms if no first-round majority emerges by late October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問