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icon for Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者
世界·トンガ

Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者

icon for Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者
世界·トンガ

Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者

アイサケ・ホアタタウ・フィナウ 46%

Sione Tuifio Hui 46%

シティヴェニ・セルイ 44%

アミニアシ・トンガ・パウウ・タンギマナ 42%

Polymarket
新規

アイサケ・ホアタタウ・フィナウ 46%

Sione Tuifio Hui 46%

シティヴェニ・セルイ 44%

アミニアシ・トンガ・パウウ・タンギマナ 42%

Polymarket
新規

アイサケ・ホアタタウ・フィナウ

$0 Vol.

46%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

46%

シティヴェニ・セルイ

$0 Vol.

44%

アミニアシ・トンガ・パウウ・タンギマナ

$0 Vol.

42%

パエア・イ・ヴァハ・フィリモエハラ

$0 Vol.

31%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s decision to void the 2025 result after convicting the prior winner of bribery tied to voter distributions. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from specific villages across the small Niuas constituency. With no dominant frontrunner or recent polling to clarify preferences, trader consensus reflects evenly matched probabilities across the field. Village-level loyalties, the limited electorate, and absence of major endorsements or campaign developments have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped. The outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and localized mobilization in the final weeks before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s decision to void the 2025 result after convicting the prior winner of bribery tied to voter distributions. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from specific villages across the small Niuas constituency. With no dominant frontrunner or recent polling to clarify preferences, trader consensus reflects evenly matched probabilities across the field. Village-level loyalties, the limited electorate, and absence of major endorsements or campaign developments have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped. The outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and localized mobilization in the final weeks before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アイサケ・ホアタタウ・フィナウ」で46%、次いで「Sione Tuifio Hui」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Sep 9, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アイサケ・ホアタタウ・フィナウ」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Sione Tuifio Hui」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ongo Niua 17補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。